Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2018. The Rochester-area seat, encompassing Monroe County and parts of Ontario County, carries a partisan baseline that has supported Democratic victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Morelle’s 60.8 percent share in 2024. Multiple independent ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, district composition, and limited competitive signals to date, though national political shifts or unexpected turnout changes before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 Vol.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2018. The Rochester-area seat, encompassing Monroe County and parts of Ontario County, carries a partisan baseline that has supported Democratic victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Morelle’s 60.8 percent share in 2024. Multiple independent ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, district composition, and limited competitive signals to date, though national political shifts or unexpected turnout changes before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,113Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2018. The Rochester-area seat, encompassing Monroe County and parts of Ontario County, carries a partisan baseline that has supported Democratic victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Morelle’s 60.8 percent share in 2024. Multiple independent ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, district composition, and limited competitive signals to date, though national political shifts or unexpected turnout changes before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,113Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2018. The Rochester-area seat, encompassing Monroe County and parts of Ontario County, carries a partisan baseline that has supported Democratic victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including Morelle’s 60.8 percent share in 2024. Multiple independent ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, district composition, and limited competitive signals to date, though national political shifts or unexpected turnout changes before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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