Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Morelle won reelection in 2024 by nearly 22 points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Virginia McIntyre, faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democrats maintain a consistent registration and voting edge. Morelle also leads his June 23 Democratic primary by wide margins on prediction markets. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for Republicans and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign events that would alter the outlook. A national Republican wave, late primary surprise, or significant incumbent-specific development could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
$25,090 Vol.
$25,090 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
4%
$25,090 Vol.
$25,090 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$14,992 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$10,098 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Morelle won reelection in 2024 by nearly 22 points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Virginia McIntyre, faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democrats maintain a consistent registration and voting edge. Morelle also leads his June 23 Democratic primary by wide margins on prediction markets. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for Republicans and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign events that would alter the outlook. A national Republican wave, late primary surprise, or significant incumbent-specific development could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,090Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Morelle won reelection in 2024 by nearly 22 points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Virginia McIntyre, faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democrats maintain a consistent registration and voting edge. Morelle also leads his June 23 Democratic primary by wide margins on prediction markets. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for Republicans and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign events that would alter the outlook. A national Republican wave, late primary surprise, or significant incumbent-specific development could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,090Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Morelle won reelection in 2024 by nearly 22 points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Virginia McIntyre, faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democrats maintain a consistent registration and voting edge. Morelle also leads his June 23 Democratic primary by wide margins on prediction markets. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for Republicans and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign events that would alter the outlook. A national Republican wave, late primary surprise, or significant incumbent-specific development could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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