Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the NY-25 nomination after winning his June 23, 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers. The Rochester-area district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic, underpins trader consensus favoring the party. Limited Republican opposition, with Virginia McIntyre advancing unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled, further cements the positioning. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain narrow in scope and would require substantial shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns between now and the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-25
$25,341 Vol.
$25,341 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
3%
$25,341 Vol.
$25,341 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$15,110 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$10,232 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the NY-25 nomination after winning his June 23, 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers. The Rochester-area district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic, underpins trader consensus favoring the party. Limited Republican opposition, with Virginia McIntyre advancing unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled, further cements the positioning. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain narrow in scope and would require substantial shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns between now and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,341Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the NY-25 nomination after winning his June 23, 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers. The Rochester-area district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic, underpins trader consensus favoring the party. Limited Republican opposition, with Virginia McIntyre advancing unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled, further cements the positioning. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain narrow in scope and would require substantial shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns between now and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,341Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the NY-25 nomination after winning his June 23, 2026 primary with over 63 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers. The Rochester-area district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic, underpins trader consensus favoring the party. Limited Republican opposition, with Virginia McIntyre advancing unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled, further cements the positioning. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain narrow in scope and would require substantial shifts in national conditions or turnout patterns between now and the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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