Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney secured her party's nomination uncontested in the June 23, 2026 primary and faces Democrat Alissa Ellman, who prevailed in her primary, in the November general election for New York's 24th congressional district. The race remains a low-profile contest in a solidly Republican-leaning district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 86.5% implied probability of victory due to Tenney's established incumbency advantage, the district's rural and conservative voter base along Lake Ontario, and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries. Ellman's nomination has not altered the structural outlook in this safe seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$3,549 Vol.
87%
Partido Demócrata
$3,525 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney secured her party's nomination uncontested in the June 23, 2026 primary and faces Democrat Alissa Ellman, who prevailed in her primary, in the November general election for New York's 24th congressional district. The race remains a low-profile contest in a solidly Republican-leaning district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 86.5% implied probability of victory due to Tenney's established incumbency advantage, the district's rural and conservative voter base along Lake Ontario, and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries. Ellman's nomination has not altered the structural outlook in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$7,075Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney secured her party's nomination uncontested in the June 23, 2026 primary and faces Democrat Alissa Ellman, who prevailed in her primary, in the November general election for New York's 24th congressional district. The race remains a low-profile contest in a solidly Republican-leaning district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 86.5% implied probability of victory due to Tenney's established incumbency advantage, the district's rural and conservative voter base along Lake Ontario, and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries. Ellman's nomination has not altered the structural outlook in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,075Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney secured her party's nomination uncontested in the June 23, 2026 primary and faces Democrat Alissa Ellman, who prevailed in her primary, in the November general election for New York's 24th congressional district. The race remains a low-profile contest in a solidly Republican-leaning district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 86.5% implied probability of victory due to Tenney's established incumbency advantage, the district's rural and conservative voter base along Lake Ontario, and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries. Ellman's nomination has not altered the structural outlook in this safe seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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