Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces the 2026 general election in New York's 24th congressional district, a rural upstate area along Lake Ontario rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Tenney secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, preserving party resources. Democratic primary voters will choose between Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum on June 23, but the nominee enters a district where Republicans have consistently outperformed statewide trends. Trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, limited recent polling movement, and absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-24
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,102 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$1,881 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces the 2026 general election in New York's 24th congressional district, a rural upstate area along Lake Ontario rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Tenney secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, preserving party resources. Democratic primary voters will choose between Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum on June 23, but the nominee enters a district where Republicans have consistently outperformed statewide trends. Trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, limited recent polling movement, and absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$3,983Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces the 2026 general election in New York's 24th congressional district, a rural upstate area along Lake Ontario rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Tenney secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, preserving party resources. Democratic primary voters will choose between Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum on June 23, but the nominee enters a district where Republicans have consistently outperformed statewide trends. Trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, limited recent polling movement, and absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,983Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces the 2026 general election in New York's 24th congressional district, a rural upstate area along Lake Ontario rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Tenney secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, preserving party resources. Democratic primary voters will choose between Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum on June 23, but the nominee enters a district where Republicans have consistently outperformed statewide trends. Trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, limited recent polling movement, and absence of major scandals or shifts in voter registration that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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