The district's entrenched Democratic lean, rated D+24 by the Cook Political Report with prior margins exceeding 50 points, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Long-serving incumbent Alma Adams secured the nomination after the March 2026 primaries, facing Republican nominee Jack Codiga in a seat redrawn in October 2025 that retains a heavily Democratic voter base. Limited Republican investment and the absence of competitive polling or national tailwinds have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. An upset would require an extraordinary national environment, late-cycle scandal, or health-related withdrawal capable of overcoming the structural margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
$34,271 Vol.
$34,271 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$34,271 Vol.
$34,271 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,154 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$18,117 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, rated D+24 by the Cook Political Report with prior margins exceeding 50 points, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Long-serving incumbent Alma Adams secured the nomination after the March 2026 primaries, facing Republican nominee Jack Codiga in a seat redrawn in October 2025 that retains a heavily Democratic voter base. Limited Republican investment and the absence of competitive polling or national tailwinds have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. An upset would require an extraordinary national environment, late-cycle scandal, or health-related withdrawal capable of overcoming the structural margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$34,271Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, rated D+24 by the Cook Political Report with prior margins exceeding 50 points, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Long-serving incumbent Alma Adams secured the nomination after the March 2026 primaries, facing Republican nominee Jack Codiga in a seat redrawn in October 2025 that retains a heavily Democratic voter base. Limited Republican investment and the absence of competitive polling or national tailwinds have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. An upset would require an extraordinary national environment, late-cycle scandal, or health-related withdrawal capable of overcoming the structural margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,271Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic lean, rated D+24 by the Cook Political Report with prior margins exceeding 50 points, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Long-serving incumbent Alma Adams secured the nomination after the March 2026 primaries, facing Republican nominee Jack Codiga in a seat redrawn in October 2025 that retains a heavily Democratic voter base. Limited Republican investment and the absence of competitive polling or national tailwinds have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. An upset would require an extraordinary national environment, late-cycle scandal, or health-related withdrawal capable of overcoming the structural margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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