North Carolina’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Alma Adams in prior cycles. Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced after his primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, 2026, driven by these structural factors and limited Republican investment to date. A Republican victory would require an unusually favorable national political environment or significant late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
$34,269 Vol.
$34,269 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$34,269 Vol.
$34,269 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,152 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$18,117 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Alma Adams in prior cycles. Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced after his primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, 2026, driven by these structural factors and limited Republican investment to date. A Republican victory would require an unusually favorable national political environment or significant late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$34,269Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Alma Adams in prior cycles. Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced after his primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, 2026, driven by these structural factors and limited Republican investment to date. A Republican victory would require an unusually favorable national political environment or significant late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,269Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Alma Adams in prior cycles. Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced after his primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, 2026, driven by these structural factors and limited Republican investment to date. A Republican victory would require an unusually favorable national political environment or significant late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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