Texas's 12th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its consistent partisan leanings in recent cycles and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the March 2026 primaries. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured the Democratic nomination. National House polling trends show a narrower partisan environment overall, yet local structural advantages, including voter registration patterns and fundraising gaps, underpin the strong trader consensus around an 81% Republican outcome probability ahead of the November general election. No late-breaking events have altered the baseline assessment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-12
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
81%
Partido Demócrata
15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,864 Vol.
81%
Partido Demócrata
$2,241 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 12th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its consistent partisan leanings in recent cycles and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the March 2026 primaries. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured the Democratic nomination. National House polling trends show a narrower partisan environment overall, yet local structural advantages, including voter registration patterns and fundraising gaps, underpin the strong trader consensus around an 81% Republican outcome probability ahead of the November general election. No late-breaking events have altered the baseline assessment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$9,105Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 12th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its consistent partisan leanings in recent cycles and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the March 2026 primaries. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured the Democratic nomination. National House polling trends show a narrower partisan environment overall, yet local structural advantages, including voter registration patterns and fundraising gaps, underpin the strong trader consensus around an 81% Republican outcome probability ahead of the November general election. No late-breaking events have altered the baseline assessment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,105Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 12th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its consistent partisan leanings in recent cycles and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the March 2026 primaries. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured the Democratic nomination. National House polling trends show a narrower partisan environment overall, yet local structural advantages, including voter registration patterns and fundraising gaps, underpin the strong trader consensus around an 81% Republican outcome probability ahead of the November general election. No late-breaking events have altered the baseline assessment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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