The Texas 11th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds emerged from a runoff with limited resources and name recognition in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting shifts. A national political realignment, major candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-11
$24,827 Vol.
$24,827 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$24,827 Vol.
$24,827 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,652 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$18,176 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 11th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds emerged from a runoff with limited resources and name recognition in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting shifts. A national political realignment, major candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$24,827Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 11th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds emerged from a runoff with limited resources and name recognition in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting shifts. A national political realignment, major candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,827Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 11th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds emerged from a runoff with limited resources and name recognition in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting shifts. A national political realignment, major candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes