Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. The district’s strong Republican lean, evidenced by its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Downing’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader expectations ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling shows limited Democratic name recognition among primary voters, with candidates facing low visibility and modest fundraising through early May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late primary upset, significant scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could still shift dynamics before the June 2 primaries and general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,247 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$3,153 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. The district’s strong Republican lean, evidenced by its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Downing’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader expectations ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling shows limited Democratic name recognition among primary voters, with candidates facing low visibility and modest fundraising through early May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late primary upset, significant scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could still shift dynamics before the June 2 primaries and general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$11,400Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. The district’s strong Republican lean, evidenced by its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Downing’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader expectations ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling shows limited Democratic name recognition among primary voters, with candidates facing low visibility and modest fundraising through early May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late primary upset, significant scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could still shift dynamics before the June 2 primaries and general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,400Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. The district’s strong Republican lean, evidenced by its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Downing’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader expectations ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling shows limited Democratic name recognition among primary voters, with candidates facing low visibility and modest fundraising through early May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late primary upset, significant scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could still shift dynamics before the June 2 primaries and general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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