Incumbent Republican Troy Downing secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for Montana's 2nd Congressional District, facing Democrat Brian Miller in the November general election. The eastern Montana seat carries a strong Republican partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base and Downing's established fundraising and organizational edge. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. A substantial national midterm swing, unforeseen scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$44,336 Vol.
$44,336 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$44,336 Vol.
$44,336 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$26,144 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$18,193 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for Montana's 2nd Congressional District, facing Democrat Brian Miller in the November general election. The eastern Montana seat carries a strong Republican partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base and Downing's established fundraising and organizational edge. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. A substantial national midterm swing, unforeseen scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$44,336Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for Montana's 2nd Congressional District, facing Democrat Brian Miller in the November general election. The eastern Montana seat carries a strong Republican partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base and Downing's established fundraising and organizational edge. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. A substantial national midterm swing, unforeseen scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$44,336Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Downing secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for Montana's 2nd Congressional District, facing Democrat Brian Miller in the November general election. The eastern Montana seat carries a strong Republican partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base and Downing's established fundraising and organizational edge. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. A substantial national midterm swing, unforeseen scandal, or health event could still alter the outcome before November 3, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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