The open-seat race for Montana’s 1st Congressional District remains closely contested because the district’s R+5 partisan lean is offset by Democratic-leaning population centers in Missoula and Bozeman, while Republican voters dominate surrounding rural counties. With incumbent Ryan Zinke retiring, both parties face competitive June 2 primaries that will determine nominees capable of appealing to independents and crossover voters in the general election. Recent polls show hypothetical Democratic and Republican candidates running within a few points of each other, underscoring the narrow path to victory for either side. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing therefore hinges on which party fields the stronger nominee and how national political conditions evolve before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMT-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MT-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
56%
Partido Demócrata
44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,011 Vol.
56%
Partido Demócrata
$392 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat race for Montana’s 1st Congressional District remains closely contested because the district’s R+5 partisan lean is offset by Democratic-leaning population centers in Missoula and Bozeman, while Republican voters dominate surrounding rural counties. With incumbent Ryan Zinke retiring, both parties face competitive June 2 primaries that will determine nominees capable of appealing to independents and crossover voters in the general election. Recent polls show hypothetical Democratic and Republican candidates running within a few points of each other, underscoring the narrow path to victory for either side. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing therefore hinges on which party fields the stronger nominee and how national political conditions evolve before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volumen
$1,402Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat race for Montana’s 1st Congressional District remains closely contested because the district’s R+5 partisan lean is offset by Democratic-leaning population centers in Missoula and Bozeman, while Republican voters dominate surrounding rural counties. With incumbent Ryan Zinke retiring, both parties face competitive June 2 primaries that will determine nominees capable of appealing to independents and crossover voters in the general election. Recent polls show hypothetical Democratic and Republican candidates running within a few points of each other, underscoring the narrow path to victory for either side. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing therefore hinges on which party fields the stronger nominee and how national political conditions evolve before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$1,402Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat race for Montana’s 1st Congressional District remains closely contested because the district’s R+5 partisan lean is offset by Democratic-leaning population centers in Missoula and Bozeman, while Republican voters dominate surrounding rural counties. With incumbent Ryan Zinke retiring, both parties face competitive June 2 primaries that will determine nominees capable of appealing to independents and crossover voters in the general election. Recent polls show hypothetical Democratic and Republican candidates running within a few points of each other, underscoring the narrow path to victory for either side. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing therefore hinges on which party fields the stronger nominee and how national political conditions evolve before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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