Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured over 50 percent in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 30th congressional district, advancing to face Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district's voter composition and consistent ratings as solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Limited Republican fundraising and field presence have reinforced this positioning ahead of the fall campaign. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, a major shift in national political conditions before November, or an unforeseen withdrawal by the leading candidate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,742 Vol.
$12,742 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$12,742 Vol.
$12,742 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,114 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$6,627 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured over 50 percent in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 30th congressional district, advancing to face Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district's voter composition and consistent ratings as solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Limited Republican fundraising and field presence have reinforced this positioning ahead of the fall campaign. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, a major shift in national political conditions before November, or an unforeseen withdrawal by the leading candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$12,742Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured over 50 percent in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 30th congressional district, advancing to face Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district's voter composition and consistent ratings as solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Limited Republican fundraising and field presence have reinforced this positioning ahead of the fall campaign. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, a major shift in national political conditions before November, or an unforeseen withdrawal by the leading candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,742Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured over 50 percent in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 30th congressional district, advancing to face Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district's voter composition and consistent ratings as solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Limited Republican fundraising and field presence have reinforced this positioning ahead of the fall campaign. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low Democratic turnout, a major shift in national political conditions before November, or an unforeseen withdrawal by the leading candidate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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