Tennessee's 8th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, when the Republican-controlled legislature approved new boundaries that incorporated additional suburban areas around Memphis while shifting other counties, resulting in a more solidly Republican-leaning seat rated Solid R by major forecasters. Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and holds a substantial fundraising advantage, while Democratic primary contenders including Heidi Kuhn remain in early stages without unified momentum. These structural shifts and the district's partisan voting index underpin trader consensus around an 85% implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance before primary results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$14,991 Vol.
$14,991 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
14%
$14,991 Vol.
$14,991 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,091 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$4,900 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, when the Republican-controlled legislature approved new boundaries that incorporated additional suburban areas around Memphis while shifting other counties, resulting in a more solidly Republican-leaning seat rated Solid R by major forecasters. Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and holds a substantial fundraising advantage, while Democratic primary contenders including Heidi Kuhn remain in early stages without unified momentum. These structural shifts and the district's partisan voting index underpin trader consensus around an 85% implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance before primary results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$14,991Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, when the Republican-controlled legislature approved new boundaries that incorporated additional suburban areas around Memphis while shifting other counties, resulting in a more solidly Republican-leaning seat rated Solid R by major forecasters. Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and holds a substantial fundraising advantage, while Democratic primary contenders including Heidi Kuhn remain in early stages without unified momentum. These structural shifts and the district's partisan voting index underpin trader consensus around an 85% implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance before primary results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,991Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in May 2026, when the Republican-controlled legislature approved new boundaries that incorporated additional suburban areas around Memphis while shifting other counties, resulting in a more solidly Republican-leaning seat rated Solid R by major forecasters. Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and holds a substantial fundraising advantage, while Democratic primary contenders including Heidi Kuhn remain in early stages without unified momentum. These structural shifts and the district's partisan voting index underpin trader consensus around an 85% implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance before primary results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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