Tennessee Republicans' successful mid-decade redistricting in May 2026 fundamentally altered the 9th district's composition by splitting the former Memphis-based majority-minority seat and extending it eastward toward Nashville suburbs, producing an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and strong prior Republican presidential performance. This shift prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to retire, opening the seat ahead of the August 6 primaries. Republican nominee Brent Taylor prevailed in his primary, while Democrat Justin Pearson won his; nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report now rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party reflects these structural changes and limited remaining paths for Democratic success.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$34,881 Vol.
$34,881 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
85%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$34,881 Vol.
$34,881 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$20,982 Vol.
85%
Partido Demócrata
$13,899 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans' successful mid-decade redistricting in May 2026 fundamentally altered the 9th district's composition by splitting the former Memphis-based majority-minority seat and extending it eastward toward Nashville suburbs, producing an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and strong prior Republican presidential performance. This shift prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to retire, opening the seat ahead of the August 6 primaries. Republican nominee Brent Taylor prevailed in his primary, while Democrat Justin Pearson won his; nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report now rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party reflects these structural changes and limited remaining paths for Democratic success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$34,881Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans' successful mid-decade redistricting in May 2026 fundamentally altered the 9th district's composition by splitting the former Memphis-based majority-minority seat and extending it eastward toward Nashville suburbs, producing an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and strong prior Republican presidential performance. This shift prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to retire, opening the seat ahead of the August 6 primaries. Republican nominee Brent Taylor prevailed in his primary, while Democrat Justin Pearson won his; nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report now rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party reflects these structural changes and limited remaining paths for Democratic success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,881Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee Republicans' successful mid-decade redistricting in May 2026 fundamentally altered the 9th district's composition by splitting the former Memphis-based majority-minority seat and extending it eastward toward Nashville suburbs, producing an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and strong prior Republican presidential performance. This shift prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to retire, opening the seat ahead of the August 6 primaries. Republican nominee Brent Taylor prevailed in his primary, while Democrat Justin Pearson won his; nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report now rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party reflects these structural changes and limited remaining paths for Democratic success.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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