The Republican Party holds an 87% implied probability in the TN-07 House race due to the district’s consistent partisan lean, with Donald Trump carrying the area by 22 points in 2024 and recent redistricting preserving an R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Freshman Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the seat in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general. Democratic candidates, including several who competed in the special, confront structural barriers from the district’s suburban and rural composition anchored around Middle Tennessee. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals alongside historical midterm patterns favoring the party holding the governorship and state legislature.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,746 Vol.
$11,746 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
11%
$11,746 Vol.
$11,746 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,972 Vol.
87%
Partido Demócrata
$2,774 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 87% implied probability in the TN-07 House race due to the district’s consistent partisan lean, with Donald Trump carrying the area by 22 points in 2024 and recent redistricting preserving an R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Freshman Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the seat in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general. Democratic candidates, including several who competed in the special, confront structural barriers from the district’s suburban and rural composition anchored around Middle Tennessee. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals alongside historical midterm patterns favoring the party holding the governorship and state legislature.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$11,746Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 87% implied probability in the TN-07 House race due to the district’s consistent partisan lean, with Donald Trump carrying the area by 22 points in 2024 and recent redistricting preserving an R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Freshman Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the seat in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general. Democratic candidates, including several who competed in the special, confront structural barriers from the district’s suburban and rural composition anchored around Middle Tennessee. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals alongside historical midterm patterns favoring the party holding the governorship and state legislature.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,746Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds an 87% implied probability in the TN-07 House race due to the district’s consistent partisan lean, with Donald Trump carrying the area by 22 points in 2024 and recent redistricting preserving an R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Freshman Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the seat in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general. Democratic candidates, including several who competed in the special, confront structural barriers from the district’s suburban and rural composition anchored around Middle Tennessee. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals alongside historical midterm patterns favoring the party holding the governorship and state legislature.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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