Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari, first elected in 2024 with nearly 71 percent of the vote in this majority-Latino Phoenix-area seat, faces a July 21, 2026 primary before the November general election. This structural advantage and incumbency have produced the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift the outcome include late developments affecting the incumbent, an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary nominee, or broader national political shifts altering turnout patterns before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AZ-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$9,121 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$5,594 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari, first elected in 2024 with nearly 71 percent of the vote in this majority-Latino Phoenix-area seat, faces a July 21, 2026 primary before the November general election. This structural advantage and incumbency have produced the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift the outcome include late developments affecting the incumbent, an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary nominee, or broader national political shifts altering turnout patterns before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$14,714Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari, first elected in 2024 with nearly 71 percent of the vote in this majority-Latino Phoenix-area seat, faces a July 21, 2026 primary before the November general election. This structural advantage and incumbency have produced the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift the outcome include late developments affecting the incumbent, an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary nominee, or broader national political shifts altering turnout patterns before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,714Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari, first elected in 2024 with nearly 71 percent of the vote in this majority-Latino Phoenix-area seat, faces a July 21, 2026 primary before the November general election. This structural advantage and incumbency have produced the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift the outcome include late developments affecting the incumbent, an unexpectedly competitive Republican primary nominee, or broader national political shifts altering turnout patterns before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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