TX-35 is an open seat after redistricting shifted boundaries to include more Republican-leaning areas in and around San Antonio, flipping the district from a strong Democratic hold to a narrow R+4 partisan voting index. Nominees Johnny Garcia (D), a Bexar County deputy sheriff, and Carlos De La Cruz (R), an Air Force veteran, emerged from May runoffs on a new map that reduced the prior Democratic advantage and created a competitive general election on November 3. Trader sentiment remains close because the district’s altered electorate, limited name recognition for both candidates, and absence of recent public polling leave room for either side to consolidate support in key precincts. Fundraising, endorsements from local officials or national party committees, and turnout efforts in San Antonio suburbs could widen the gap, while broader midterm dynamics or late campaign events may further influence the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-35
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-35
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
53%
Partido Republicano
45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$4,833 Vol.
53%
Partido Republicano
$4,517 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-35 is an open seat after redistricting shifted boundaries to include more Republican-leaning areas in and around San Antonio, flipping the district from a strong Democratic hold to a narrow R+4 partisan voting index. Nominees Johnny Garcia (D), a Bexar County deputy sheriff, and Carlos De La Cruz (R), an Air Force veteran, emerged from May runoffs on a new map that reduced the prior Democratic advantage and created a competitive general election on November 3. Trader sentiment remains close because the district’s altered electorate, limited name recognition for both candidates, and absence of recent public polling leave room for either side to consolidate support in key precincts. Fundraising, endorsements from local officials or national party committees, and turnout efforts in San Antonio suburbs could widen the gap, while broader midterm dynamics or late campaign events may further influence the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$9,350Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-35 is an open seat after redistricting shifted boundaries to include more Republican-leaning areas in and around San Antonio, flipping the district from a strong Democratic hold to a narrow R+4 partisan voting index. Nominees Johnny Garcia (D), a Bexar County deputy sheriff, and Carlos De La Cruz (R), an Air Force veteran, emerged from May runoffs on a new map that reduced the prior Democratic advantage and created a competitive general election on November 3. Trader sentiment remains close because the district’s altered electorate, limited name recognition for both candidates, and absence of recent public polling leave room for either side to consolidate support in key precincts. Fundraising, endorsements from local officials or national party committees, and turnout efforts in San Antonio suburbs could widen the gap, while broader midterm dynamics or late campaign events may further influence the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,350Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...TX-35 is an open seat after redistricting shifted boundaries to include more Republican-leaning areas in and around San Antonio, flipping the district from a strong Democratic hold to a narrow R+4 partisan voting index. Nominees Johnny Garcia (D), a Bexar County deputy sheriff, and Carlos De La Cruz (R), an Air Force veteran, emerged from May runoffs on a new map that reduced the prior Democratic advantage and created a competitive general election on November 3. Trader sentiment remains close because the district’s altered electorate, limited name recognition for both candidates, and absence of recent public polling leave room for either side to consolidate support in key precincts. Fundraising, endorsements from local officials or national party committees, and turnout efforts in San Antonio suburbs could widen the gap, while broader midterm dynamics or late campaign events may further influence the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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