Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez holds a clear edge in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 34th congressional district against Republican nominee Eric Flores. Recent polling, including an August Texas Southern University survey showing Gonzalez ahead 45-42 percent, reinforces his position in a district that has trended Republican at the presidential level yet remains competitive at the congressional level. Gonzalez won his March primary comfortably, while Flores secured the GOP nomination outright in the same cycle. Race ratings classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting Gonzalez's past overperformance relative to the district's baseline and the typical midterm environment for the party out of power. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 74 percent, consistent with the narrow but consistent polling margin and structural advantages for the sitting member.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-34
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-34
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
74%
Partido Republicano
24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,335 Vol.
74%
Partido Republicano
$2,052 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez holds a clear edge in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 34th congressional district against Republican nominee Eric Flores. Recent polling, including an August Texas Southern University survey showing Gonzalez ahead 45-42 percent, reinforces his position in a district that has trended Republican at the presidential level yet remains competitive at the congressional level. Gonzalez won his March primary comfortably, while Flores secured the GOP nomination outright in the same cycle. Race ratings classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting Gonzalez's past overperformance relative to the district's baseline and the typical midterm environment for the party out of power. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 74 percent, consistent with the narrow but consistent polling margin and structural advantages for the sitting member.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$7,387Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez holds a clear edge in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 34th congressional district against Republican nominee Eric Flores. Recent polling, including an August Texas Southern University survey showing Gonzalez ahead 45-42 percent, reinforces his position in a district that has trended Republican at the presidential level yet remains competitive at the congressional level. Gonzalez won his March primary comfortably, while Flores secured the GOP nomination outright in the same cycle. Race ratings classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting Gonzalez's past overperformance relative to the district's baseline and the typical midterm environment for the party out of power. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 74 percent, consistent with the narrow but consistent polling margin and structural advantages for the sitting member.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,387Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez holds a clear edge in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 34th congressional district against Republican nominee Eric Flores. Recent polling, including an August Texas Southern University survey showing Gonzalez ahead 45-42 percent, reinforces his position in a district that has trended Republican at the presidential level yet remains competitive at the congressional level. Gonzalez won his March primary comfortably, while Flores secured the GOP nomination outright in the same cycle. Race ratings classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting Gonzalez's past overperformance relative to the district's baseline and the typical midterm environment for the party out of power. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 74 percent, consistent with the narrow but consistent polling margin and structural advantages for the sitting member.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes