Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in Arizona’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following uncontested primary wins for both candidates. The seat’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Gosar’s established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Recent primary results and district-level election data show limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers in this area. A major scandal involving the incumbent, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the general election could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current structural factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AZ-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,919 Vol.
$12,919 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
4%
$12,919 Vol.
$12,919 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,151 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$8,768 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in Arizona’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following uncontested primary wins for both candidates. The seat’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Gosar’s established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Recent primary results and district-level election data show limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers in this area. A major scandal involving the incumbent, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the general election could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$12,919Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in Arizona’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following uncontested primary wins for both candidates. The seat’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Gosar’s established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Recent primary results and district-level election data show limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers in this area. A major scandal involving the incumbent, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the general election could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,919Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in Arizona’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026, following uncontested primary wins for both candidates. The seat’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Gosar’s established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Recent primary results and district-level election data show limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers in this area. A major scandal involving the incumbent, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the general election could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current structural factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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