The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024, establish the structural foundation for the Republican nominee's dominant position in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent John Carter secured his party's nomination with nearly 60% in the March 3 primary, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, while facing a Democratic challenger with limited name recognition and fundraising. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unusually strong national Democratic wave, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or sharply higher Democratic turnout in suburban Williamson County areas could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic paths for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
$44,723 Vol.
$44,723 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$44,723 Vol.
$44,723 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,263 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$20,461 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024, establish the structural foundation for the Republican nominee's dominant position in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent John Carter secured his party's nomination with nearly 60% in the March 3 primary, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, while facing a Democratic challenger with limited name recognition and fundraising. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unusually strong national Democratic wave, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or sharply higher Democratic turnout in suburban Williamson County areas could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$44,723Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024, establish the structural foundation for the Republican nominee's dominant position in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent John Carter secured his party's nomination with nearly 60% in the March 3 primary, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, while facing a Democratic challenger with limited name recognition and fundraising. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unusually strong national Democratic wave, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or sharply higher Democratic turnout in suburban Williamson County areas could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$44,723Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024, establish the structural foundation for the Republican nominee's dominant position in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent John Carter secured his party's nomination with nearly 60% in the March 3 primary, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, while facing a Democratic challenger with limited name recognition and fundraising. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unusually strong national Democratic wave, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or sharply higher Democratic turnout in suburban Williamson County areas could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic paths for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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