The solidly Republican tilt of Texas’s 31st congressional district, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent John Carter secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote and now faces Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in the November 3 general election. The district has never elected a Democrat since its creation, and Carter’s repeated re-election margins align with the current trader consensus. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have emerged in recent weeks to alter that positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
$14,261 Vol.
$14,261 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
85%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$14,261 Vol.
$14,261 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,990 Vol.
85%
Partido Demócrata
$5,271 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Texas’s 31st congressional district, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent John Carter secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote and now faces Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in the November 3 general election. The district has never elected a Democrat since its creation, and Carter’s repeated re-election margins align with the current trader consensus. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have emerged in recent weeks to alter that positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$14,261Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Texas’s 31st congressional district, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent John Carter secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote and now faces Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in the November 3 general election. The district has never elected a Democrat since its creation, and Carter’s repeated re-election margins align with the current trader consensus. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have emerged in recent weeks to alter that positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,261Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Texas’s 31st congressional district, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent John Carter secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote and now faces Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in the November 3 general election. The district has never elected a Democrat since its creation, and Carter’s repeated re-election margins align with the current trader consensus. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have emerged in recent weeks to alter that positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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