Texas's 30th congressional district, covering urban portions of Dallas and Tarrant counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and ranks among the state's most Democratic seats. Its electorate features large Black and Hispanic populations that have delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. The seat became open after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, and Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter composition and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national political realignment or localized turnout collapse that has not materialized in prior midterms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-30
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-30
$48,299 Vol.
$48,299 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
2%
$48,299 Vol.
$48,299 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,579 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$42,721 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district, covering urban portions of Dallas and Tarrant counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and ranks among the state's most Democratic seats. Its electorate features large Black and Hispanic populations that have delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. The seat became open after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, and Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter composition and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national political realignment or localized turnout collapse that has not materialized in prior midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$48,299Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district, covering urban portions of Dallas and Tarrant counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and ranks among the state's most Democratic seats. Its electorate features large Black and Hispanic populations that have delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. The seat became open after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, and Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter composition and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national political realignment or localized turnout collapse that has not materialized in prior midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$48,299Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 30th congressional district, covering urban portions of Dallas and Tarrant counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and ranks among the state's most Democratic seats. Its electorate features large Black and Hispanic populations that have delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. The seat became open after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, and Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter composition and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national political realignment or localized turnout collapse that has not materialized in prior midterms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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