Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock faces a nonpartisan primary on June 2 ahead of the November general election in California’s 5th Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 to R+10, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates Mike Barkley, Michael Masuda, and Dan Stroud have not generated significant visibility or resources. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan lean, and limited opposition—underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 83.5 percent. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$3,864 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$1,473 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock faces a nonpartisan primary on June 2 ahead of the November general election in California’s 5th Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 to R+10, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates Mike Barkley, Michael Masuda, and Dan Stroud have not generated significant visibility or resources. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan lean, and limited opposition—underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 83.5 percent. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$5,337Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock faces a nonpartisan primary on June 2 ahead of the November general election in California’s 5th Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 to R+10, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates Mike Barkley, Michael Masuda, and Dan Stroud have not generated significant visibility or resources. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan lean, and limited opposition—underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 83.5 percent. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,337Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock faces a nonpartisan primary on June 2 ahead of the November general election in California’s 5th Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 to R+10, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates Mike Barkley, Michael Masuda, and Dan Stroud have not generated significant visibility or resources. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan lean, and limited opposition—underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 83.5 percent. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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