South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory given the state's consistent partisan voting patterns, strong historical margins for the party in federal contests, and the absence of competitive polling shifts. A major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, scandal, or significant national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de SD-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de SD-AL
$16,931 Vol.
$16,931 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
21%
$16,931 Vol.
$16,931 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,474 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$7,457 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory given the state's consistent partisan voting patterns, strong historical margins for the party in federal contests, and the absence of competitive polling shifts. A major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, scandal, or significant national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$16,931Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory given the state's consistent partisan voting patterns, strong historical margins for the party in federal contests, and the absence of competitive polling shifts. A major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, scandal, or significant national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,931Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory given the state's consistent partisan voting patterns, strong historical margins for the party in federal contests, and the absence of competitive polling shifts. A major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, scandal, or significant national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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