South Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republicans by wide margins, reflected in its R+15 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. With incumbent Dusty Johnson seeking the governorship, Republican nominee Marty Jackley secured the nomination in the June 2 primary by a decisive 80-20 margin over his opponent. Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature and dominate statewide offices. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. While a national political shift, unusually low turnout among Republican voters, or a late-breaking controversy could narrow the gap, the current candidate profiles, fundraising disparities, and state-level voting patterns support trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de SD-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de SD-AL
$16,933 Vol.
$16,933 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$16,933 Vol.
$16,933 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,474 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$7,459 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republicans by wide margins, reflected in its R+15 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. With incumbent Dusty Johnson seeking the governorship, Republican nominee Marty Jackley secured the nomination in the June 2 primary by a decisive 80-20 margin over his opponent. Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature and dominate statewide offices. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. While a national political shift, unusually low turnout among Republican voters, or a late-breaking controversy could narrow the gap, the current candidate profiles, fundraising disparities, and state-level voting patterns support trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$16,933Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republicans by wide margins, reflected in its R+15 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. With incumbent Dusty Johnson seeking the governorship, Republican nominee Marty Jackley secured the nomination in the June 2 primary by a decisive 80-20 margin over his opponent. Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature and dominate statewide offices. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. While a national political shift, unusually low turnout among Republican voters, or a late-breaking controversy could narrow the gap, the current candidate profiles, fundraising disparities, and state-level voting patterns support trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,933Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republicans by wide margins, reflected in its R+15 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. With incumbent Dusty Johnson seeking the governorship, Republican nominee Marty Jackley secured the nomination in the June 2 primary by a decisive 80-20 margin over his opponent. Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature and dominate statewide offices. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. While a national political shift, unusually low turnout among Republican voters, or a late-breaking controversy could narrow the gap, the current candidate profiles, fundraising disparities, and state-level voting patterns support trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes