The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote and a low-profile Republican general-election challenger, limiting any realistic path for the opposing party. Historical voting patterns and limited campaign activity in the race further reinforce this positioning. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent withdrawal due to health or scandal shortly before the general election, remains the primary scenario that could narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-14
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-14
$41,424 Vol.
$41,424 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$41,424 Vol.
$41,424 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$28,262 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$13,162 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote and a low-profile Republican general-election challenger, limiting any realistic path for the opposing party. Historical voting patterns and limited campaign activity in the race further reinforce this positioning. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent withdrawal due to health or scandal shortly before the general election, remains the primary scenario that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$41,424Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote and a low-profile Republican general-election challenger, limiting any realistic path for the opposing party. Historical voting patterns and limited campaign activity in the race further reinforce this positioning. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent withdrawal due to health or scandal shortly before the general election, remains the primary scenario that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,424Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote and a low-profile Republican general-election challenger, limiting any realistic path for the opposing party. Historical voting patterns and limited campaign activity in the race further reinforce this positioning. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent withdrawal due to health or scandal shortly before the general election, remains the primary scenario that could narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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