New York's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its urban Manhattan and Bronx demographics, consistent voter registration advantages, and historical election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a competitive June 23 primary against challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general election features only token Republican opposition from Manual Williams. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with the market's 95.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, while scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift or late primary outcome altering candidate dynamics before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-13
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-13
$33,775 Vol.
$33,775 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
5%
$33,775 Vol.
$33,775 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$21,733 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$12,042 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its urban Manhattan and Bronx demographics, consistent voter registration advantages, and historical election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a competitive June 23 primary against challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general election features only token Republican opposition from Manual Williams. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with the market's 95.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, while scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift or late primary outcome altering candidate dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,775Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its urban Manhattan and Bronx demographics, consistent voter registration advantages, and historical election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a competitive June 23 primary against challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general election features only token Republican opposition from Manual Williams. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with the market's 95.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, while scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift or late primary outcome altering candidate dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,775Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its urban Manhattan and Bronx demographics, consistent voter registration advantages, and historical election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a competitive June 23 primary against challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general election features only token Republican opposition from Manual Williams. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with the market's 95.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, while scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift or late primary outcome altering candidate dynamics before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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