New York's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent presidential cycles and establishing it among the nation's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary challenge from Darializa Avila Chevalier and others, while Republican Manual Williams advances to the November general ballot with minimal organized opposition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from the opposing party. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen national political realignment or major scandal, represents the narrow path that could narrow the gap before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-13
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-13
$33,775 Vol.
$33,775 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
5%
$33,775 Vol.
$33,775 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$21,733 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$12,042 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent presidential cycles and establishing it among the nation's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary challenge from Darializa Avila Chevalier and others, while Republican Manual Williams advances to the November general ballot with minimal organized opposition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from the opposing party. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen national political realignment or major scandal, represents the narrow path that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,775Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent presidential cycles and establishing it among the nation's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary challenge from Darializa Avila Chevalier and others, while Republican Manual Williams advances to the November general ballot with minimal organized opposition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from the opposing party. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen national political realignment or major scandal, represents the narrow path that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,775Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent presidential cycles and establishing it among the nation's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary challenge from Darializa Avila Chevalier and others, while Republican Manual Williams advances to the November general ballot with minimal organized opposition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from the opposing party. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen national political realignment or major scandal, represents the narrow path that could narrow the gap before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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