Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring Republican incumbent Troy Nehls, secured the GOP nomination in a March 3 primary landslide with 76% of the vote, bolstering trader confidence in a Republican hold for TX-22, a solidly red district with an R+9 Cook PVI and a 20-point Trump margin in 2024. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott advanced from her primary but faces steep structural challenges in the suburban Houston battleground spanning Fort Bend and Brazoria counties. Absent recent polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, market odds reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in historical base rates for safe GOP seats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-22
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-22
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,280 Vol.
87%
Partido Demócrata
$2,092 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring Republican incumbent Troy Nehls, secured the GOP nomination in a March 3 primary landslide with 76% of the vote, bolstering trader confidence in a Republican hold for TX-22, a solidly red district with an R+9 Cook PVI and a 20-point Trump margin in 2024. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott advanced from her primary but faces steep structural challenges in the suburban Houston battleground spanning Fort Bend and Brazoria counties. Absent recent polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, market odds reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in historical base rates for safe GOP seats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$3,373Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring Republican incumbent Troy Nehls, secured the GOP nomination in a March 3 primary landslide with 76% of the vote, bolstering trader confidence in a Republican hold for TX-22, a solidly red district with an R+9 Cook PVI and a 20-point Trump margin in 2024. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott advanced from her primary but faces steep structural challenges in the suburban Houston battleground spanning Fort Bend and Brazoria counties. Absent recent polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, market odds reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in historical base rates for safe GOP seats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,373Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring Republican incumbent Troy Nehls, secured the GOP nomination in a March 3 primary landslide with 76% of the vote, bolstering trader confidence in a Republican hold for TX-22, a solidly red district with an R+9 Cook PVI and a 20-point Trump margin in 2024. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott advanced from her primary but faces steep structural challenges in the suburban Houston battleground spanning Fort Bend and Brazoria counties. Absent recent polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, market odds reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in historical base rates for safe GOP seats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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