The strong Democratic lean of Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, underpins the 94.2% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan secured over 70% in the prior cycle and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican candidates show minimal fundraising or visibility for the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Democrat, consistent with historical margins and turnout patterns favoring the party in this urban-suburban mix. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, including an unforeseen primary upset, major health or scandal developments affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican national wave that lifts down-ballot performance beyond recent benchmarks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$97,609 Vol.
$97,609 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
2%
$97,609 Vol.
$97,609 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$58,329 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$39,281 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, underpins the 94.2% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan secured over 70% in the prior cycle and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican candidates show minimal fundraising or visibility for the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Democrat, consistent with historical margins and turnout patterns favoring the party in this urban-suburban mix. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, including an unforeseen primary upset, major health or scandal developments affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican national wave that lifts down-ballot performance beyond recent benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$97,609Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, underpins the 94.2% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan secured over 70% in the prior cycle and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican candidates show minimal fundraising or visibility for the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Democrat, consistent with historical margins and turnout patterns favoring the party in this urban-suburban mix. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, including an unforeseen primary upset, major health or scandal developments affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican national wave that lifts down-ballot performance beyond recent benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$97,609Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, underpins the 94.2% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan secured over 70% in the prior cycle and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican candidates show minimal fundraising or visibility for the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Democrat, consistent with historical margins and turnout patterns favoring the party in this urban-suburban mix. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, including an unforeseen primary upset, major health or scandal developments affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican national wave that lifts down-ballot performance beyond recent benchmarks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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