The district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins, anchors the 93.5% trader consensus on the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 69% in 2024, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November general with structural advantages in a sprawling rural area covering much of western Kansas. Democratic primary entrants have raised limited funds and lack name recognition or recent polling momentum. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late-cycle national shifts, an unexpected primary surprise, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKS-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KS-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,484 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$3,539 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins, anchors the 93.5% trader consensus on the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 69% in 2024, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November general with structural advantages in a sprawling rural area covering much of western Kansas. Democratic primary entrants have raised limited funds and lack name recognition or recent polling momentum. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late-cycle national shifts, an unexpected primary surprise, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$8,022Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins, anchors the 93.5% trader consensus on the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 69% in 2024, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November general with structural advantages in a sprawling rural area covering much of western Kansas. Democratic primary entrants have raised limited funds and lack name recognition or recent polling momentum. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late-cycle national shifts, an unexpected primary surprise, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,022Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins, anchors the 93.5% trader consensus on the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 69% in 2024, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November general with structural advantages in a sprawling rural area covering much of western Kansas. Democratic primary entrants have raised limited funds and lack name recognition or recent polling momentum. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late-cycle national shifts, an unexpected primary surprise, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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