Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s solidly Republican 1st district, where recent general-election margins have exceeded 30 points and Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. The August 4 primary against challenger Craig Musser occurs in days, after which the nominee is expected to face minimal Democratic opposition in the fall. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and low historical crossover voting. A late primary upset or unforeseen general-election surge by a Democratic candidate could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable absent major developments before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKS-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KS-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,724 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$10,002 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s solidly Republican 1st district, where recent general-election margins have exceeded 30 points and Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. The August 4 primary against challenger Craig Musser occurs in days, after which the nominee is expected to face minimal Democratic opposition in the fall. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and low historical crossover voting. A late primary upset or unforeseen general-election surge by a Democratic candidate could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable absent major developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$14,726Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s solidly Republican 1st district, where recent general-election margins have exceeded 30 points and Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. The August 4 primary against challenger Craig Musser occurs in days, after which the nominee is expected to face minimal Democratic opposition in the fall. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and low historical crossover voting. A late primary upset or unforeseen general-election surge by a Democratic candidate could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable absent major developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,726Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s solidly Republican 1st district, where recent general-election margins have exceeded 30 points and Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. The August 4 primary against challenger Craig Musser occurs in days, after which the nominee is expected to face minimal Democratic opposition in the fall. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and low historical crossover voting. A late primary upset or unforeseen general-election surge by a Democratic candidate could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable absent major developments before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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