Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, anchored in the Tulsa area, maintains a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue a U.S. Senate seat created an open race, drawing a record 11 candidates into the June 16 Republican primary while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and trader consensus at 87 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s structural advantages and lack of competitive crossover dynamics heading into the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOK-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
13%
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, anchored in the Tulsa area, maintains a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue a U.S. Senate seat created an open race, drawing a record 11 candidates into the June 16 Republican primary while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and trader consensus at 87 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s structural advantages and lack of competitive crossover dynamics heading into the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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