Redistricting signed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who outperformed Kamala Harris by nine points in 2024, now faces a revised map that improves Republican positioning ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects this baseline change, with the Republican Party leading Democratic chances by a clear margin as filing deadlines approach in mid-June. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered the dynamic in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
53%
Partido Demócrata
34%
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,113 Vol.
53%
Partido Demócrata
$5,227 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting signed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who outperformed Kamala Harris by nine points in 2024, now faces a revised map that improves Republican positioning ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects this baseline change, with the Republican Party leading Democratic chances by a clear margin as filing deadlines approach in mid-June. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered the dynamic in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$13,339Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting signed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who outperformed Kamala Harris by nine points in 2024, now faces a revised map that improves Republican positioning ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects this baseline change, with the Republican Party leading Democratic chances by a clear margin as filing deadlines approach in mid-June. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered the dynamic in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,339Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting signed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has shifted FL-09 from a Democratic-leaning seat to one rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who outperformed Kamala Harris by nine points in 2024, now faces a revised map that improves Republican positioning ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects this baseline change, with the Republican Party leading Democratic chances by a clear margin as filing deadlines approach in mid-June. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered the dynamic in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes