Troy Balderson's incumbency in Ohio's 12th congressional district underpins the Republican Party's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat carries a strongly Republican partisan voter index following recent redistricting, with primary results confirming limited Democratic opposition after Jerrad Christian advanced in May. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent electoral history and absence of competitive polling shifts. Factors that could still alter the outcome include a major candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unanticipated national midterm wave that boosts Democratic turnout in suburban areas.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-12
$33,872 Vol.
$33,872 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$33,872 Vol.
$33,872 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,037 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$9,834 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson's incumbency in Ohio's 12th congressional district underpins the Republican Party's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat carries a strongly Republican partisan voter index following recent redistricting, with primary results confirming limited Democratic opposition after Jerrad Christian advanced in May. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent electoral history and absence of competitive polling shifts. Factors that could still alter the outcome include a major candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unanticipated national midterm wave that boosts Democratic turnout in suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,872Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson's incumbency in Ohio's 12th congressional district underpins the Republican Party's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat carries a strongly Republican partisan voter index following recent redistricting, with primary results confirming limited Democratic opposition after Jerrad Christian advanced in May. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent electoral history and absence of competitive polling shifts. Factors that could still alter the outcome include a major candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unanticipated national midterm wave that boosts Democratic turnout in suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,872Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Balderson's incumbency in Ohio's 12th congressional district underpins the Republican Party's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat carries a strongly Republican partisan voter index following recent redistricting, with primary results confirming limited Democratic opposition after Jerrad Christian advanced in May. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent electoral history and absence of competitive polling shifts. Factors that could still alter the outcome include a major candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unanticipated national midterm wave that boosts Democratic turnout in suburban areas.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes