Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature and signed in August 2025 shifted the 32nd district’s boundaries to include more suburban and East Texas areas north and northeast of Dallas, producing an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and moving the seat from Democratic to Republican control. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Likely Republican, citing the new map’s structural advantage and the absence of an incumbent. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough, an attorney endorsed by President Trump, consolidated support after the March primary when Ryan Binkley withdrew ahead of a planned runoff; Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, a Richardson city councilor, emerged from his party’s primary but faces limited fundraising and a challenging electoral environment. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing reflects these factors and the limited recent developments that would alter the Republican edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-32
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-32
$29,616 Vol.
$29,616 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
79%
Partido Demócrata
22%
$29,616 Vol.
$29,616 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$27,332 Vol.
79%
Partido Demócrata
$2,284 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature and signed in August 2025 shifted the 32nd district’s boundaries to include more suburban and East Texas areas north and northeast of Dallas, producing an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and moving the seat from Democratic to Republican control. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Likely Republican, citing the new map’s structural advantage and the absence of an incumbent. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough, an attorney endorsed by President Trump, consolidated support after the March primary when Ryan Binkley withdrew ahead of a planned runoff; Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, a Richardson city councilor, emerged from his party’s primary but faces limited fundraising and a challenging electoral environment. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing reflects these factors and the limited recent developments that would alter the Republican edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$29,616Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature and signed in August 2025 shifted the 32nd district’s boundaries to include more suburban and East Texas areas north and northeast of Dallas, producing an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and moving the seat from Democratic to Republican control. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Likely Republican, citing the new map’s structural advantage and the absence of an incumbent. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough, an attorney endorsed by President Trump, consolidated support after the March primary when Ryan Binkley withdrew ahead of a planned runoff; Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, a Richardson city councilor, emerged from his party’s primary but faces limited fundraising and a challenging electoral environment. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing reflects these factors and the limited recent developments that would alter the Republican edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$29,616Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature and signed in August 2025 shifted the 32nd district’s boundaries to include more suburban and East Texas areas north and northeast of Dallas, producing an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and moving the seat from Democratic to Republican control. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Likely Republican, citing the new map’s structural advantage and the absence of an incumbent. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough, an attorney endorsed by President Trump, consolidated support after the March primary when Ryan Binkley withdrew ahead of a planned runoff; Democratic nominee Dan Barrios, a Richardson city councilor, emerged from his party’s primary but faces limited fundraising and a challenging electoral environment. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing reflects these factors and the limited recent developments that would alter the Republican edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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