Redistricting enacted in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd Congressional District from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 partisan voting index, creating an open race after incumbent Julie Johnson sought another district. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a crowded March 2026 contest that avoided a runoff. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios advanced from his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Republican, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a leading implied probability, reflecting the district's transformed electorate and limited remaining path for Democratic victory absent major unforeseen shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-32
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-32
$26,076 Vol.
$26,076 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
74%
Partido Demócrata
23%
$26,076 Vol.
$26,076 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$25,719 Vol.
74%
Partido Demócrata
$357 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd Congressional District from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 partisan voting index, creating an open race after incumbent Julie Johnson sought another district. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a crowded March 2026 contest that avoided a runoff. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios advanced from his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Republican, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a leading implied probability, reflecting the district's transformed electorate and limited remaining path for Democratic victory absent major unforeseen shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$26,076Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd Congressional District from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 partisan voting index, creating an open race after incumbent Julie Johnson sought another district. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a crowded March 2026 contest that avoided a runoff. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios advanced from his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Republican, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a leading implied probability, reflecting the district's transformed electorate and limited remaining path for Democratic victory absent major unforeseen shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,076Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting enacted in 2025 shifted Texas's 32nd Congressional District from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 partisan voting index, creating an open race after incumbent Julie Johnson sought another district. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a crowded March 2026 contest that avoided a runoff. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios advanced from his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid Republican, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a leading implied probability, reflecting the district's transformed electorate and limited remaining path for Democratic victory absent major unforeseen shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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