Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points in the low-to-mid 20s or high teens, with Grüne and SPD further back. This narrow spread among the leading parties, combined with district-level variation and the five-percent threshold filtering smaller lists, sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order. The CDU’s recent leadership change to Stefan Evers and Die Linke’s gains since the 2023 repeat election have kept the contest fluid, while AfD support remains concentrated in eastern districts. Traders price the second-place outcome tightly because small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among these three contenders could alter the ranking before election night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCDU 39%
Linke 29%
AfD 26%
Grüne 9%
$31,276 Vol.
$31,276 Vol.
20 sep 2026
CDU
39%
Linke
29%
AfD
26%
Grüne
9%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 39%
Linke 29%
AfD 26%
Grüne 9%
$31,276 Vol.
$31,276 Vol.
20 sep 2026
CDU
$5,118 Vol.
39%
Linke
$7,423 Vol.
29%
AfD
$7,403 Vol.
26%
Grüne
$5,657 Vol.
9%
SPD
$3,576 Vol.
3%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points in the low-to-mid 20s or high teens, with Grüne and SPD further back. This narrow spread among the leading parties, combined with district-level variation and the five-percent threshold filtering smaller lists, sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order. The CDU’s recent leadership change to Stefan Evers and Die Linke’s gains since the 2023 repeat election have kept the contest fluid, while AfD support remains concentrated in eastern districts. Traders price the second-place outcome tightly because small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among these three contenders could alter the ranking before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Mercado abierto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volumen
$31,276Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points in the low-to-mid 20s or high teens, with Grüne and SPD further back. This narrow spread among the leading parties, combined with district-level variation and the five-percent threshold filtering smaller lists, sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order. The CDU’s recent leadership change to Stefan Evers and Die Linke’s gains since the 2023 repeat election have kept the contest fluid, while AfD support remains concentrated in eastern districts. Traders price the second-place outcome tightly because small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among these three contenders could alter the ranking before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$31,276Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points in the low-to-mid 20s or high teens, with Grüne and SPD further back. This narrow spread among the leading parties, combined with district-level variation and the five-percent threshold filtering smaller lists, sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order. The CDU’s recent leadership change to Stefan Evers and Die Linke’s gains since the 2023 repeat election have kept the contest fluid, while AfD support remains concentrated in eastern districts. Traders price the second-place outcome tightly because small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among these three contenders could alter the ranking before election night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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