Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in Minnesota's 8th congressional district, rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. The district's voting patterns, including Republican margins in recent presidential and House contests, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Trina Swanson won her primary decisively but faces an uphill path in a seat Stauber has held since 2018 with double-digit victories. Forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, with limited national attention or polling shifts reported since the primaries. Upcoming factors include general election turnout in rural and Iron Range areas, though the baseline partisan lean limits volatility in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-08
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-08
$20,803 Vol.
$20,803 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
15%
$20,803 Vol.
$20,803 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,205 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$9,598 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in Minnesota's 8th congressional district, rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. The district's voting patterns, including Republican margins in recent presidential and House contests, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Trina Swanson won her primary decisively but faces an uphill path in a seat Stauber has held since 2018 with double-digit victories. Forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, with limited national attention or polling shifts reported since the primaries. Upcoming factors include general election turnout in rural and Iron Range areas, though the baseline partisan lean limits volatility in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$20,803Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in Minnesota's 8th congressional district, rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. The district's voting patterns, including Republican margins in recent presidential and House contests, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Trina Swanson won her primary decisively but faces an uphill path in a seat Stauber has held since 2018 with double-digit victories. Forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, with limited national attention or polling shifts reported since the primaries. Upcoming factors include general election turnout in rural and Iron Range areas, though the baseline partisan lean limits volatility in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$20,803Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in Minnesota's 8th congressional district, rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. The district's voting patterns, including Republican margins in recent presidential and House contests, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Trina Swanson won her primary decisively but faces an uphill path in a seat Stauber has held since 2018 with double-digit victories. Forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, with limited national attention or polling shifts reported since the primaries. Upcoming factors include general election turnout in rural and Iron Range areas, though the baseline partisan lean limits volatility in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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