The district's R+7 partisan voting index and incumbent Republican Pete Stauber's established base in northern Minnesota's Iron Range underpin the 74% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP performance including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024. Both parties face August 11 primaries, with multiple Democratic contenders and Stauber facing limited intra-party opposition. No major polling or campaign shifts have emerged in recent weeks to alter the early-cycle positioning, leaving room for broader midterm dynamics or candidate performance to influence final probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-08
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-08
$14,793 Vol.
$14,793 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
74%
Partido Demócrata
26%
$14,793 Vol.
$14,793 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,542 Vol.
74%
Partido Demócrata
$7,250 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+7 partisan voting index and incumbent Republican Pete Stauber's established base in northern Minnesota's Iron Range underpin the 74% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP performance including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024. Both parties face August 11 primaries, with multiple Democratic contenders and Stauber facing limited intra-party opposition. No major polling or campaign shifts have emerged in recent weeks to alter the early-cycle positioning, leaving room for broader midterm dynamics or candidate performance to influence final probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$14,793Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+7 partisan voting index and incumbent Republican Pete Stauber's established base in northern Minnesota's Iron Range underpin the 74% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP performance including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024. Both parties face August 11 primaries, with multiple Democratic contenders and Stauber facing limited intra-party opposition. No major polling or campaign shifts have emerged in recent weeks to alter the early-cycle positioning, leaving room for broader midterm dynamics or candidate performance to influence final probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,793Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+7 partisan voting index and incumbent Republican Pete Stauber's established base in northern Minnesota's Iron Range underpin the 74% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP performance including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024. Both parties face August 11 primaries, with multiple Democratic contenders and Stauber facing limited intra-party opposition. No major polling or campaign shifts have emerged in recent weeks to alter the early-cycle positioning, leaving room for broader midterm dynamics or candidate performance to influence final probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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