Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its rural east Texas electorate and consistent conservative voting patterns, producing an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the House election. The incumbent benefits from established name recognition and alignment with local priorities on energy policy and border security, factors that have delivered double-digit margins in prior cycles. Democratic candidates encounter structural challenges in this solidly red district, where voter registration and historical turnout favor Republicans, resulting in the Democratic Party's 12.0% market price. No significant shifts in polling trends or candidate dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-36
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-36
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,409 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$2,669 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its rural east Texas electorate and consistent conservative voting patterns, producing an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the House election. The incumbent benefits from established name recognition and alignment with local priorities on energy policy and border security, factors that have delivered double-digit margins in prior cycles. Democratic candidates encounter structural challenges in this solidly red district, where voter registration and historical turnout favor Republicans, resulting in the Democratic Party's 12.0% market price. No significant shifts in polling trends or candidate dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$5,079Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its rural east Texas electorate and consistent conservative voting patterns, producing an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the House election. The incumbent benefits from established name recognition and alignment with local priorities on energy policy and border security, factors that have delivered double-digit margins in prior cycles. Democratic candidates encounter structural challenges in this solidly red district, where voter registration and historical turnout favor Republicans, resulting in the Democratic Party's 12.0% market price. No significant shifts in polling trends or candidate dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,079Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican advantage rooted in its rural east Texas electorate and consistent conservative voting patterns, producing an 85.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the House election. The incumbent benefits from established name recognition and alignment with local priorities on energy policy and border security, factors that have delivered double-digit margins in prior cycles. Democratic candidates encounter structural challenges in this solidly red district, where voter registration and historical turnout favor Republicans, resulting in the Democratic Party's 12.0% market price. No significant shifts in polling trends or candidate dynamics have emerged in recent weeks to alter this positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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