Analilia Mejia’s decisive victory in the April 2026 special election established a strong base of support for Democrats in New Jersey’s 11th District, a seat previously held by Mikie Sherrill and rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. The district’s partisan lean, combined with Mejia’s primary win and subsequent general-election margin exceeding 20 points, has anchored trader consensus around continued Democratic control. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway and any potential 2026 challengers face structural disadvantages in fundraising, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sustained national Republican surge, significant local economic shifts, or late developments affecting the incumbent’s standing ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-11
$39,527 Vol.
$39,527 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$39,527 Vol.
$39,527 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$23,573 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$15,955 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia’s decisive victory in the April 2026 special election established a strong base of support for Democrats in New Jersey’s 11th District, a seat previously held by Mikie Sherrill and rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. The district’s partisan lean, combined with Mejia’s primary win and subsequent general-election margin exceeding 20 points, has anchored trader consensus around continued Democratic control. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway and any potential 2026 challengers face structural disadvantages in fundraising, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sustained national Republican surge, significant local economic shifts, or late developments affecting the incumbent’s standing ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$39,527Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia’s decisive victory in the April 2026 special election established a strong base of support for Democrats in New Jersey’s 11th District, a seat previously held by Mikie Sherrill and rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. The district’s partisan lean, combined with Mejia’s primary win and subsequent general-election margin exceeding 20 points, has anchored trader consensus around continued Democratic control. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway and any potential 2026 challengers face structural disadvantages in fundraising, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sustained national Republican surge, significant local economic shifts, or late developments affecting the incumbent’s standing ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$39,527Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia’s decisive victory in the April 2026 special election established a strong base of support for Democrats in New Jersey’s 11th District, a seat previously held by Mikie Sherrill and rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. The district’s partisan lean, combined with Mejia’s primary win and subsequent general-election margin exceeding 20 points, has anchored trader consensus around continued Democratic control. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway and any potential 2026 challengers face structural disadvantages in fundraising, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sustained national Republican surge, significant local economic shifts, or late developments affecting the incumbent’s standing ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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