Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination for NY-09 after defeating primary challengers in the June 23 contest, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah on November 3. The district's consistent Democratic lean, combined with Clarke's long incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around a 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in recent months. A significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected candidate withdrawal remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this Brooklyn-Queens seat make such outcomes improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-09
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-09
$43,755 Vol.
$43,755 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$43,755 Vol.
$43,755 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$19,282 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$24,474 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination for NY-09 after defeating primary challengers in the June 23 contest, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah on November 3. The district's consistent Democratic lean, combined with Clarke's long incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around a 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in recent months. A significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected candidate withdrawal remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this Brooklyn-Queens seat make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$43,755Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination for NY-09 after defeating primary challengers in the June 23 contest, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah on November 3. The district's consistent Democratic lean, combined with Clarke's long incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around a 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in recent months. A significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected candidate withdrawal remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this Brooklyn-Queens seat make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,755Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination for NY-09 after defeating primary challengers in the June 23 contest, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah on November 3. The district's consistent Democratic lean, combined with Clarke's long incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around a 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in recent months. A significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected candidate withdrawal remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this Brooklyn-Queens seat make such outcomes improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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