**Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th congressional district in the August 18 primary and now faces Republican Scott Singer, the GOP nominee, in the November 3 general election.** The coastal district stretching from Boca Raton to Miami Beach was redrawn in 2026, shifting its partisan lean rightward so that Donald Trump carried the new lines by roughly 5–9 points in 2024. Despite this, traders assign Democrats a 68% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting Moskowitz’s strong fundraising—over $925,000 raised in the second quarter alone—and name recognition as a sitting member. Singer’s primary victory came in a crowded field, but the race remains competitive given the district’s large independent bloc and historical midterm dynamics. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among suburban and Jewish voters and any late national political developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-25
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-25
$26,710 Vol.
$26,710 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
68%
Partido Republicano
31%
$26,710 Vol.
$26,710 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$9,102 Vol.
68%
Partido Republicano
$17,608 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th congressional district in the August 18 primary and now faces Republican Scott Singer, the GOP nominee, in the November 3 general election.** The coastal district stretching from Boca Raton to Miami Beach was redrawn in 2026, shifting its partisan lean rightward so that Donald Trump carried the new lines by roughly 5–9 points in 2024. Despite this, traders assign Democrats a 68% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting Moskowitz’s strong fundraising—over $925,000 raised in the second quarter alone—and name recognition as a sitting member. Singer’s primary victory came in a crowded field, but the race remains competitive given the district’s large independent bloc and historical midterm dynamics. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among suburban and Jewish voters and any late national political developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$26,710Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th congressional district in the August 18 primary and now faces Republican Scott Singer, the GOP nominee, in the November 3 general election.** The coastal district stretching from Boca Raton to Miami Beach was redrawn in 2026, shifting its partisan lean rightward so that Donald Trump carried the new lines by roughly 5–9 points in 2024. Despite this, traders assign Democrats a 68% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting Moskowitz’s strong fundraising—over $925,000 raised in the second quarter alone—and name recognition as a sitting member. Singer’s primary victory came in a crowded field, but the race remains competitive given the district’s large independent bloc and historical midterm dynamics. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among suburban and Jewish voters and any late national political developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,710Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th congressional district in the August 18 primary and now faces Republican Scott Singer, the GOP nominee, in the November 3 general election.** The coastal district stretching from Boca Raton to Miami Beach was redrawn in 2026, shifting its partisan lean rightward so that Donald Trump carried the new lines by roughly 5–9 points in 2024. Despite this, traders assign Democrats a 68% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting Moskowitz’s strong fundraising—over $925,000 raised in the second quarter alone—and name recognition as a sitting member. Singer’s primary victory came in a crowded field, but the race remains competitive given the district’s large independent bloc and historical midterm dynamics. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, with outcomes sensitive to turnout among suburban and Jewish voters and any late national political developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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