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icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

Maura Sullivan 82%

Stefany Shaheen 19%

Carleigh Beriont 1.4%

Heath Howard <1%

Polymarket

$244,121 Vol.

Maura Sullivan 82%

Stefany Shaheen 19%

Carleigh Beriont 1.4%

Heath Howard <1%

Polymarket

$244,121 Vol.

icon for Maura Sullivan

Maura Sullivan

$118,920 Vol.

82%

icon for Stefany Shaheen

Stefany Shaheen

$76,305 Vol.

19%

icon for Carleigh Beriont

Carleigh Beriont

$44,742 Vol.

1%

icon for Heath Howard

Heath Howard

$4,154 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maura Sullivan holds the commanding lead in the NH-01 Democratic primary market because she has built consistent advantages in fundraising, polling, and grassroots organizing ahead of the September 8 vote. As a Marine veteran and former Obama administration official who serves as state Democratic Party vice chair, Sullivan has outraised rivals every quarter, reported over $3 million raised with strong cash on hand, and secured support from veterans groups and local officials while conducting extensive door-knocking. Stefany Shaheen, the former Portsmouth city councilor and daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, opened as the frontrunner on name recognition but has trailed in every fundraising report and seen her position erode amid attacks on dynastic politics and outside donors. Carleigh Beriont and Heath Howard remain marginal factors with limited resources and polling. Trader consensus reflects Sullivan’s late-summer momentum in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$244,121
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maura Sullivan holds the commanding lead in the NH-01 Democratic primary market because she has built consistent advantages in fundraising, polling, and grassroots organizing ahead of the September 8 vote. As a Marine veteran and former Obama administration official who serves as state Democratic Party vice chair, Sullivan has outraised rivals every quarter, reported over $3 million raised with strong cash on hand, and secured support from veterans groups and local officials while conducting extensive door-knocking. Stefany Shaheen, the former Portsmouth city councilor and daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, opened as the frontrunner on name recognition but has trailed in every fundraising report and seen her position erode amid attacks on dynastic politics and outside donors. Carleigh Beriont and Heath Howard remain marginal factors with limited resources and polling. Trader consensus reflects Sullivan’s late-summer momentum in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$244,121
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Maura Sullivan" con 82%, seguido de "Stefany Shaheen" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 82¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" ha generado $244.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es "Maura Sullivan" con 82%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Stefany Shaheen" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.