The Iowa 1st District race features a November rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan after both secured their party nominations in the June 2 primaries. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest a toss-up in a district with an R+4 Partisan Voter Index. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 70% implied probability of victory amid the district’s history of narrow margins and the absence of new public polling since the primaries. Key variables include turnout patterns in eastern Iowa counties, fundraising parity between the candidates, and any national political shifts that could influence this battleground seat before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
71%
Partido Republicano
35%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$817 Vol.
71%
Partido Republicano
$771 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 1st District race features a November rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan after both secured their party nominations in the June 2 primaries. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest a toss-up in a district with an R+4 Partisan Voter Index. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 70% implied probability of victory amid the district’s history of narrow margins and the absence of new public polling since the primaries. Key variables include turnout patterns in eastern Iowa counties, fundraising parity between the candidates, and any national political shifts that could influence this battleground seat before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,588Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 1st District race features a November rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan after both secured their party nominations in the June 2 primaries. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest a toss-up in a district with an R+4 Partisan Voter Index. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 70% implied probability of victory amid the district’s history of narrow margins and the absence of new public polling since the primaries. Key variables include turnout patterns in eastern Iowa counties, fundraising parity between the candidates, and any national political shifts that could influence this battleground seat before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$1,588Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Iowa 1st District race features a November rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan after both secured their party nominations in the June 2 primaries. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest a toss-up in a district with an R+4 Partisan Voter Index. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 70% implied probability of victory amid the district’s history of narrow margins and the absence of new public polling since the primaries. Key variables include turnout patterns in eastern Iowa counties, fundraising parity between the candidates, and any national political shifts that could influence this battleground seat before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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