Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in the IA-01 House race according to trader consensus, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margin of under 1 point and recent polling averages showing her ahead by low single digits. As a rematch against incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, the contest features Bohannan’s established name recognition after strong primary performance in June and active campaigning, including attacks on corporate PAC contributions. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic, consistent with midterm dynamics where the opposition party often gains ground in competitive districts. A scheduled October debate and ongoing voter outreach in key areas continue to shape assessments of turnout and swing-voter preferences heading into November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$31,088 Vol.
$31,088 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
78%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
22%
$31,088 Vol.
$31,088 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
$19,604 Vol.
78%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
$11,484 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in the IA-01 House race according to trader consensus, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margin of under 1 point and recent polling averages showing her ahead by low single digits. As a rematch against incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, the contest features Bohannan’s established name recognition after strong primary performance in June and active campaigning, including attacks on corporate PAC contributions. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic, consistent with midterm dynamics where the opposition party often gains ground in competitive districts. A scheduled October debate and ongoing voter outreach in key areas continue to shape assessments of turnout and swing-voter preferences heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Volumen
$31,088Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in the IA-01 House race according to trader consensus, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margin of under 1 point and recent polling averages showing her ahead by low single digits. As a rematch against incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, the contest features Bohannan’s established name recognition after strong primary performance in June and active campaigning, including attacks on corporate PAC contributions. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic, consistent with midterm dynamics where the opposition party often gains ground in competitive districts. A scheduled October debate and ongoing voter outreach in key areas continue to shape assessments of turnout and swing-voter preferences heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,088Fecha de finalización
5 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in the IA-01 House race according to trader consensus, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margin of under 1 point and recent polling averages showing her ahead by low single digits. As a rematch against incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, the contest features Bohannan’s established name recognition after strong primary performance in June and active campaigning, including attacks on corporate PAC contributions. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic, consistent with midterm dynamics where the opposition party often gains ground in competitive districts. A scheduled October debate and ongoing voter outreach in key areas continue to shape assessments of turnout and swing-voter preferences heading into November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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