The 2026 contest for Iowa’s 3rd congressional district pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed June 2 primaries. Forecasters classify the Des Moines-area seat as a toss-up or lean Republican based on Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory and the district’s modest Republican tilt. Traders appear to weigh recent polling showing Garriott ahead, the district’s suburban and urban voter base, and midterm dynamics that have historically favored challengers in competitive Iowa House races. A Libertarian candidate adds a minor factor but is unlikely to alter the two-party outcome. Resolution hinges on the November 3 general election results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
71%
Partido Republicano
25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$1,234 Vol.
71%
Partido Republicano
$1,020 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2026 contest for Iowa’s 3rd congressional district pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed June 2 primaries. Forecasters classify the Des Moines-area seat as a toss-up or lean Republican based on Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory and the district’s modest Republican tilt. Traders appear to weigh recent polling showing Garriott ahead, the district’s suburban and urban voter base, and midterm dynamics that have historically favored challengers in competitive Iowa House races. A Libertarian candidate adds a minor factor but is unlikely to alter the two-party outcome. Resolution hinges on the November 3 general election results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volumen
$2,254Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2026 contest for Iowa’s 3rd congressional district pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed June 2 primaries. Forecasters classify the Des Moines-area seat as a toss-up or lean Republican based on Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory and the district’s modest Republican tilt. Traders appear to weigh recent polling showing Garriott ahead, the district’s suburban and urban voter base, and midterm dynamics that have historically favored challengers in competitive Iowa House races. A Libertarian candidate adds a minor factor but is unlikely to alter the two-party outcome. Resolution hinges on the November 3 general election results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,254Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 contest for Iowa’s 3rd congressional district pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed June 2 primaries. Forecasters classify the Des Moines-area seat as a toss-up or lean Republican based on Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory and the district’s modest Republican tilt. Traders appear to weigh recent polling showing Garriott ahead, the district’s suburban and urban voter base, and midterm dynamics that have historically favored challengers in competitive Iowa House races. A Libertarian candidate adds a minor factor but is unlikely to alter the two-party outcome. Resolution hinges on the November 3 general election results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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