The IA-03 race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in a district rated toss-up or lean Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Nunn prevailed by roughly four points in 2024, aligning closely with the area’s modest Republican tilt. Both candidates advanced unopposed or decisively from June 2 primaries, solidifying a head-to-head contest that includes a minor Libertarian entry. Multiple polls, including Change Research surveys, have shown Trone Garriott ahead, sometimes by double digits, citing Nunn’s negative favorability and the district’s urban-suburban mix around Des Moines. Traders appear to weigh these factors, combined with the seat’s marginal status and potential 2026 midterm dynamics, as elevating Democratic prospects in the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
78%
Partido Republicano
19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$1,234 Vol.
78%
Partido Republicano
$1,020 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-03 race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in a district rated toss-up or lean Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Nunn prevailed by roughly four points in 2024, aligning closely with the area’s modest Republican tilt. Both candidates advanced unopposed or decisively from June 2 primaries, solidifying a head-to-head contest that includes a minor Libertarian entry. Multiple polls, including Change Research surveys, have shown Trone Garriott ahead, sometimes by double digits, citing Nunn’s negative favorability and the district’s urban-suburban mix around Des Moines. Traders appear to weigh these factors, combined with the seat’s marginal status and potential 2026 midterm dynamics, as elevating Democratic prospects in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volumen
$2,254Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-03 race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in a district rated toss-up or lean Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Nunn prevailed by roughly four points in 2024, aligning closely with the area’s modest Republican tilt. Both candidates advanced unopposed or decisively from June 2 primaries, solidifying a head-to-head contest that includes a minor Libertarian entry. Multiple polls, including Change Research surveys, have shown Trone Garriott ahead, sometimes by double digits, citing Nunn’s negative favorability and the district’s urban-suburban mix around Des Moines. Traders appear to weigh these factors, combined with the seat’s marginal status and potential 2026 midterm dynamics, as elevating Democratic prospects in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,254Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IA-03 race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in a district rated toss-up or lean Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Nunn prevailed by roughly four points in 2024, aligning closely with the area’s modest Republican tilt. Both candidates advanced unopposed or decisively from June 2 primaries, solidifying a head-to-head contest that includes a minor Libertarian entry. Multiple polls, including Change Research surveys, have shown Trone Garriott ahead, sometimes by double digits, citing Nunn’s negative favorability and the district’s urban-suburban mix around Des Moines. Traders appear to weigh these factors, combined with the seat’s marginal status and potential 2026 midterm dynamics, as elevating Democratic prospects in the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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