The IA-03 race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott in a competitive district with an R+2 partisan voting index. Nunn won narrowly in 2024, and both candidates ran unopposed in the June 2026 primaries. Recent Democratic campaign ads launched in early August criticize Nunn on town hall accessibility and congressional leadership, while broader national midterm dynamics—including Democratic overperformance in 2026 special elections—have shaped trader consensus. The district's suburban Des Moines base and historical swing patterns contribute to elevated Democratic positioning in current pricing ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
69%
Partido Republicano
31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,266 Vol.
69%
Partido Republicano
$4,109 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-03 race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott in a competitive district with an R+2 partisan voting index. Nunn won narrowly in 2024, and both candidates ran unopposed in the June 2026 primaries. Recent Democratic campaign ads launched in early August criticize Nunn on town hall accessibility and congressional leadership, while broader national midterm dynamics—including Democratic overperformance in 2026 special elections—have shaped trader consensus. The district's suburban Des Moines base and historical swing patterns contribute to elevated Democratic positioning in current pricing ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volumen
$7,376Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-03 race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott in a competitive district with an R+2 partisan voting index. Nunn won narrowly in 2024, and both candidates ran unopposed in the June 2026 primaries. Recent Democratic campaign ads launched in early August criticize Nunn on town hall accessibility and congressional leadership, while broader national midterm dynamics—including Democratic overperformance in 2026 special elections—have shaped trader consensus. The district's suburban Des Moines base and historical swing patterns contribute to elevated Democratic positioning in current pricing ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,376Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IA-03 race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott in a competitive district with an R+2 partisan voting index. Nunn won narrowly in 2024, and both candidates ran unopposed in the June 2026 primaries. Recent Democratic campaign ads launched in early August criticize Nunn on town hall accessibility and congressional leadership, while broader national midterm dynamics—including Democratic overperformance in 2026 special elections—have shaped trader consensus. The district's suburban Des Moines base and historical swing patterns contribute to elevated Democratic positioning in current pricing ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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