Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 election, triggering a competitive Democratic primary on August 18 that Oliver Gilbert won with establishment endorsements and local support. Gilbert now faces limited Republican opposition in the November general election. Traders have priced in this structural advantage and primary outcome as the dominant factors behind the current consensus. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant funding shifts, or unexpected turnout changes in Miami-Dade and Broward counties represent the primary variables that could still influence the final result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara FL-24
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara FL-24
$33,182 Vol.
$33,182 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
1%
$33,182 Vol.
$33,182 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$17,503 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$15,679 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 election, triggering a competitive Democratic primary on August 18 that Oliver Gilbert won with establishment endorsements and local support. Gilbert now faces limited Republican opposition in the November general election. Traders have priced in this structural advantage and primary outcome as the dominant factors behind the current consensus. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant funding shifts, or unexpected turnout changes in Miami-Dade and Broward counties represent the primary variables that could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$33,182Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 election, triggering a competitive Democratic primary on August 18 that Oliver Gilbert won with establishment endorsements and local support. Gilbert now faces limited Republican opposition in the November general election. Traders have priced in this structural advantage and primary outcome as the dominant factors behind the current consensus. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant funding shifts, or unexpected turnout changes in Miami-Dade and Broward counties represent the primary variables that could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,182Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 election, triggering a competitive Democratic primary on August 18 that Oliver Gilbert won with establishment endorsements and local support. Gilbert now faces limited Republican opposition in the November general election. Traders have priced in this structural advantage and primary outcome as the dominant factors behind the current consensus. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant funding shifts, or unexpected turnout changes in Miami-Dade and Broward counties represent the primary variables that could still influence the final result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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