Oregon's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Chris Beck advanced as the general-election challenger after winning a fragmented primary. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's rural eastern and southern Oregon composition and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors along with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable path for Democrats. Late-cycle national political shifts, turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOR-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
OR-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,363 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$2,784 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Chris Beck advanced as the general-election challenger after winning a fragmented primary. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's rural eastern and southern Oregon composition and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors along with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable path for Democrats. Late-cycle national political shifts, turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$5,147Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Chris Beck advanced as the general-election challenger after winning a fragmented primary. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's rural eastern and southern Oregon composition and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors along with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable path for Democrats. Late-cycle national political shifts, turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,147Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Chris Beck advanced as the general-election challenger after winning a fragmented primary. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's rural eastern and southern Oregon composition and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors along with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable path for Democrats. Late-cycle national political shifts, turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes