Redistricting following the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that the prior congressional map constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has shifted Louisiana’s 6th district toward a Republican lean. The GOP-controlled legislature advanced a new map expected to alter the district’s composition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, where incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican primary challengers. This change prompted postponement of earlier primaries and prompted forecasters such as the Cook Political Report to rate the seat as a likely Republican flip. Trader consensus in the market reflects these structural adjustments to the district’s voter base and the limited time remaining for Democrats to mount a competitive defense.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
LA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$58,169 Vol.
$58,169 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$58,169 Vol.
$58,169 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$31,586 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$26,583 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that the prior congressional map constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has shifted Louisiana’s 6th district toward a Republican lean. The GOP-controlled legislature advanced a new map expected to alter the district’s composition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, where incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican primary challengers. This change prompted postponement of earlier primaries and prompted forecasters such as the Cook Political Report to rate the seat as a likely Republican flip. Trader consensus in the market reflects these structural adjustments to the district’s voter base and the limited time remaining for Democrats to mount a competitive defense.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$58,169Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that the prior congressional map constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has shifted Louisiana’s 6th district toward a Republican lean. The GOP-controlled legislature advanced a new map expected to alter the district’s composition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, where incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican primary challengers. This change prompted postponement of earlier primaries and prompted forecasters such as the Cook Political Report to rate the seat as a likely Republican flip. Trader consensus in the market reflects these structural adjustments to the district’s voter base and the limited time remaining for Democrats to mount a competitive defense.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$58,169Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that the prior congressional map constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has shifted Louisiana’s 6th district toward a Republican lean. The GOP-controlled legislature advanced a new map expected to alter the district’s composition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, where incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican primary challengers. This change prompted postponement of earlier primaries and prompted forecasters such as the Cook Political Report to rate the seat as a likely Republican flip. Trader consensus in the market reflects these structural adjustments to the district’s voter base and the limited time remaining for Democrats to mount a competitive defense.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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