The Supreme Court ruling invalidating Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has prompted Republican state lawmakers to redraw districts ahead of the November 3 primary and December 12 general election. The new configuration for the 6th District clusters more heavily Republican areas around Baton Rouge while reducing the prior majority-Black voting bloc that supported Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields. Multiple Republican candidates have filed to challenge Fields in the altered district, aligning with historical patterns in which redistricting by the majority party shifts competitive seats toward the drawing party’s advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Democratic momentum in recent filings or statewide trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
LA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$59,486 Vol.
$59,486 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
85%
Partido Demócrata
13%
$59,486 Vol.
$59,486 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$31,733 Vol.
85%
Partido Demócrata
$27,753 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Supreme Court ruling invalidating Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has prompted Republican state lawmakers to redraw districts ahead of the November 3 primary and December 12 general election. The new configuration for the 6th District clusters more heavily Republican areas around Baton Rouge while reducing the prior majority-Black voting bloc that supported Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields. Multiple Republican candidates have filed to challenge Fields in the altered district, aligning with historical patterns in which redistricting by the majority party shifts competitive seats toward the drawing party’s advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Democratic momentum in recent filings or statewide trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$59,486Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Supreme Court ruling invalidating Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has prompted Republican state lawmakers to redraw districts ahead of the November 3 primary and December 12 general election. The new configuration for the 6th District clusters more heavily Republican areas around Baton Rouge while reducing the prior majority-Black voting bloc that supported Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields. Multiple Republican candidates have filed to challenge Fields in the altered district, aligning with historical patterns in which redistricting by the majority party shifts competitive seats toward the drawing party’s advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Democratic momentum in recent filings or statewide trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$59,486Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Supreme Court ruling invalidating Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander has prompted Republican state lawmakers to redraw districts ahead of the November 3 primary and December 12 general election. The new configuration for the 6th District clusters more heavily Republican areas around Baton Rouge while reducing the prior majority-Black voting bloc that supported Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields. Multiple Republican candidates have filed to challenge Fields in the altered district, aligning with historical patterns in which redistricting by the majority party shifts competitive seats toward the drawing party’s advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural changes and the absence of offsetting Democratic momentum in recent filings or statewide trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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