**Republican Mike Carey, the incumbent since 2021, holds a clear edge in Ohio’s 15th district due to the seat’s R+5 partisan lean and his prior 56.5% general-election margin.** He secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5, 2026 primary. Democrat Don Leonard narrowly won his party’s primary and will face Carey in the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic opportunities in the district under the current map. Trader pricing aligns with this structural Republican advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-15
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-15
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
73%
Partido Demócrata
27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,679 Vol.
73%
Partido Demócrata
$3,041 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Mike Carey, the incumbent since 2021, holds a clear edge in Ohio’s 15th district due to the seat’s R+5 partisan lean and his prior 56.5% general-election margin.** He secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5, 2026 primary. Democrat Don Leonard narrowly won his party’s primary and will face Carey in the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic opportunities in the district under the current map. Trader pricing aligns with this structural Republican advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$4,720Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Mike Carey, the incumbent since 2021, holds a clear edge in Ohio’s 15th district due to the seat’s R+5 partisan lean and his prior 56.5% general-election margin.** He secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5, 2026 primary. Democrat Don Leonard narrowly won his party’s primary and will face Carey in the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic opportunities in the district under the current map. Trader pricing aligns with this structural Republican advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,720Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican Mike Carey, the incumbent since 2021, holds a clear edge in Ohio’s 15th district due to the seat’s R+5 partisan lean and his prior 56.5% general-election margin.** He secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5, 2026 primary. Democrat Don Leonard narrowly won his party’s primary and will face Carey in the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic opportunities in the district under the current map. Trader pricing aligns with this structural Republican advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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