Republican incumbent Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Carey’s 56.5% victory in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Carey ran unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary, while Leonard secured the Democratic nomination by a narrow margin over Adam Miller. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, limiting Democratic prospects absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-15
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-15
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
73%
Partido Demócrata
27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,679 Vol.
73%
Partido Demócrata
$3,041 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Carey’s 56.5% victory in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Carey ran unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary, while Leonard secured the Democratic nomination by a narrow margin over Adam Miller. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, limiting Democratic prospects absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$4,720Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Carey’s 56.5% victory in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Carey ran unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary, while Leonard secured the Democratic nomination by a narrow margin over Adam Miller. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, limiting Democratic prospects absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,720Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and Carey’s 56.5% victory in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Carey ran unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary, while Leonard secured the Democratic nomination by a narrow margin over Adam Miller. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, limiting Democratic prospects absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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