Kentucky's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and PVI of R+7, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Andy Barr's retirement to pursue a Senate bid triggered competitive primaries, with Ralph Alvarado securing the Republican nomination and Zach Dembo emerging as the Democratic candidate. Recent internal polls show a narrower race than historical results, yet the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles and limited shifts in voter composition sustain the current implied probability gap ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$32,557 Vol.
$32,557 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Demócrata
28%
$32,557 Vol.
$32,557 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$13,332 Vol.
72%
Partido Demócrata
$19,225 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and PVI of R+7, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Andy Barr's retirement to pursue a Senate bid triggered competitive primaries, with Ralph Alvarado securing the Republican nomination and Zach Dembo emerging as the Democratic candidate. Recent internal polls show a narrower race than historical results, yet the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles and limited shifts in voter composition sustain the current implied probability gap ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$32,557Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and PVI of R+7, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Andy Barr's retirement to pursue a Senate bid triggered competitive primaries, with Ralph Alvarado securing the Republican nomination and Zach Dembo emerging as the Democratic candidate. Recent internal polls show a narrower race than historical results, yet the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles and limited shifts in voter composition sustain the current implied probability gap ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,557Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and PVI of R+7, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Andy Barr's retirement to pursue a Senate bid triggered competitive primaries, with Ralph Alvarado securing the Republican nomination and Zach Dembo emerging as the Democratic candidate. Recent internal polls show a narrower race than historical results, yet the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles and limited shifts in voter composition sustain the current implied probability gap ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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