The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, following Republican incumbent Andy Barr's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has drawn national attention ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary with a Trump endorsement and roughly 56.5% of the vote, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats after winning his primary with about 39.6%. The district's Republican lean, evidenced by a Trump margin of 15 points in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7, supports trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee despite early polling showing narrow or tied general-election matchups and Democratic efforts to highlight the seat as a battleground. DCCC targeting and endorsements from state figures like Gov. Andy Beshear have kept Democratic chances in play, though structural factors continue to underpin the modest Republican edge in market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,487 Vol.
$26,487 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
57%
Partido Demócrata
41%
$26,487 Vol.
$26,487 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,273 Vol.
57%
Partido Demócrata
$16,214 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, following Republican incumbent Andy Barr's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has drawn national attention ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary with a Trump endorsement and roughly 56.5% of the vote, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats after winning his primary with about 39.6%. The district's Republican lean, evidenced by a Trump margin of 15 points in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7, supports trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee despite early polling showing narrow or tied general-election matchups and Democratic efforts to highlight the seat as a battleground. DCCC targeting and endorsements from state figures like Gov. Andy Beshear have kept Democratic chances in play, though structural factors continue to underpin the modest Republican edge in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$26,487Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, following Republican incumbent Andy Barr's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has drawn national attention ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary with a Trump endorsement and roughly 56.5% of the vote, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats after winning his primary with about 39.6%. The district's Republican lean, evidenced by a Trump margin of 15 points in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7, supports trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee despite early polling showing narrow or tied general-election matchups and Democratic efforts to highlight the seat as a battleground. DCCC targeting and endorsements from state figures like Gov. Andy Beshear have kept Democratic chances in play, though structural factors continue to underpin the modest Republican edge in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,487Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, following Republican incumbent Andy Barr's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has drawn national attention ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary with a Trump endorsement and roughly 56.5% of the vote, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats after winning his primary with about 39.6%. The district's Republican lean, evidenced by a Trump margin of 15 points in 2024 and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7, supports trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee despite early polling showing narrow or tied general-election matchups and Democratic efforts to highlight the seat as a battleground. DCCC targeting and endorsements from state figures like Gov. Andy Beshear have kept Democratic chances in play, though structural factors continue to underpin the modest Republican edge in market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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