Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,519 Vol.
$26,519 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
57%
Partido Demócrata
40%
$26,519 Vol.
$26,519 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,297 Vol.
57%
Partido Demócrata
$16,221 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$26,519Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,519Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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