Redistricting through California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-48 from a Republican-leaning seat to one with a modest Democratic edge, reflected in registration data and recent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Darrell Issa’s retirement created an open race, where Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Jim Desmond. Post-primary polling has shown a competitive contest with small margins, yet the district’s fundamentals, including Democratic registration advantages and California’s broader political environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-48 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-48 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$31,817 Vol.
$31,817 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
89%
Partido Republicano
11%
$31,817 Vol.
$31,817 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,814 Vol.
89%
Partido Republicano
$15,003 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting through California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-48 from a Republican-leaning seat to one with a modest Democratic edge, reflected in registration data and recent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Darrell Issa’s retirement created an open race, where Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Jim Desmond. Post-primary polling has shown a competitive contest with small margins, yet the district’s fundamentals, including Democratic registration advantages and California’s broader political environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$31,817Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting through California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-48 from a Republican-leaning seat to one with a modest Democratic edge, reflected in registration data and recent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Darrell Issa’s retirement created an open race, where Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Jim Desmond. Post-primary polling has shown a competitive contest with small margins, yet the district’s fundamentals, including Democratic registration advantages and California’s broader political environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,817Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting through California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-48 from a Republican-leaning seat to one with a modest Democratic edge, reflected in registration data and recent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Darrell Issa’s retirement created an open race, where Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Jim Desmond. Post-primary polling has shown a competitive contest with small margins, yet the district’s fundamentals, including Democratic registration advantages and California’s broader political environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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