Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan faces Republican Jackie Auringer in the November 2026 general election for New York's 18th congressional district. Ryan's strong 2024 reelection margin and the district's modest Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The canceled Republican primary and absence of a robust challenger have limited opposition momentum ahead of the June 23 primaries. With filing deadlines passed and limited reported fundraising or polling shifts for Republicans, the market reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and low competitive pressure typical in this Hudson Valley seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-18
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-18
$33,316 Vol.
$33,316 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
13%
Partido Demócrata
65%
$33,316 Vol.
$33,316 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,303 Vol.
13%
Partido Demócrata
$32,013 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan faces Republican Jackie Auringer in the November 2026 general election for New York's 18th congressional district. Ryan's strong 2024 reelection margin and the district's modest Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The canceled Republican primary and absence of a robust challenger have limited opposition momentum ahead of the June 23 primaries. With filing deadlines passed and limited reported fundraising or polling shifts for Republicans, the market reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and low competitive pressure typical in this Hudson Valley seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$33,316Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan faces Republican Jackie Auringer in the November 2026 general election for New York's 18th congressional district. Ryan's strong 2024 reelection margin and the district's modest Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The canceled Republican primary and absence of a robust challenger have limited opposition momentum ahead of the June 23 primaries. With filing deadlines passed and limited reported fundraising or polling shifts for Republicans, the market reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and low competitive pressure typical in this Hudson Valley seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,316Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan faces Republican Jackie Auringer in the November 2026 general election for New York's 18th congressional district. Ryan's strong 2024 reelection margin and the district's modest Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The canceled Republican primary and absence of a robust challenger have limited opposition momentum ahead of the June 23 primaries. With filing deadlines passed and limited reported fundraising or polling shifts for Republicans, the market reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and low competitive pressure typical in this Hudson Valley seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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