Cait Conley holds a modest edge in trader consensus for New York’s 17th Congressional District because the Hudson Valley seat is rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters, with roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans and a 2024 presidential result that favored Kamala Harris. Conley, an Army combat veteran and former Biden national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in a June primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote, positioning her as a centrist with strong national fundraising and endorsements from groups such as VoteVets. Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler, a two-term moderate backed by President Trump, benefits from name recognition, a record of bipartisan legislation, and prior success outperforming the district’s partisan lean, though a July poll showed him ahead by only five points among likely voters. The November 3 general election remains highly competitive, with both candidates emphasizing constituent services and moderate appeals to independents in Rockland, Westchester, and Putnam counties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$15,770 Vol.
$15,770 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Cait Conley (D)
61%
Mike Lawler (R)
39%
$15,770 Vol.
$15,770 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Cait Conley (D)
$6,528 Vol.
61%
Mike Lawler (R)
$9,242 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley holds a modest edge in trader consensus for New York’s 17th Congressional District because the Hudson Valley seat is rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters, with roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans and a 2024 presidential result that favored Kamala Harris. Conley, an Army combat veteran and former Biden national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in a June primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote, positioning her as a centrist with strong national fundraising and endorsements from groups such as VoteVets. Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler, a two-term moderate backed by President Trump, benefits from name recognition, a record of bipartisan legislation, and prior success outperforming the district’s partisan lean, though a July poll showed him ahead by only five points among likely voters. The November 3 general election remains highly competitive, with both candidates emphasizing constituent services and moderate appeals to independents in Rockland, Westchester, and Putnam counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$15,770Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley holds a modest edge in trader consensus for New York’s 17th Congressional District because the Hudson Valley seat is rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters, with roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans and a 2024 presidential result that favored Kamala Harris. Conley, an Army combat veteran and former Biden national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in a June primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote, positioning her as a centrist with strong national fundraising and endorsements from groups such as VoteVets. Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler, a two-term moderate backed by President Trump, benefits from name recognition, a record of bipartisan legislation, and prior success outperforming the district’s partisan lean, though a July poll showed him ahead by only five points among likely voters. The November 3 general election remains highly competitive, with both candidates emphasizing constituent services and moderate appeals to independents in Rockland, Westchester, and Putnam counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,770Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cait Conley holds a modest edge in trader consensus for New York’s 17th Congressional District because the Hudson Valley seat is rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters, with roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans and a 2024 presidential result that favored Kamala Harris. Conley, an Army combat veteran and former Biden national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in a June primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote, positioning her as a centrist with strong national fundraising and endorsements from groups such as VoteVets. Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler, a two-term moderate backed by President Trump, benefits from name recognition, a record of bipartisan legislation, and prior success outperforming the district’s partisan lean, though a July poll showed him ahead by only five points among likely voters. The November 3 general election remains highly competitive, with both candidates emphasizing constituent services and moderate appeals to independents in Rockland, Westchester, and Putnam counties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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