**Kathy Castor’s long incumbency and name recognition in the Tampa Bay area continue to anchor Democratic positioning in the redrawn FL-14, where voluntary mid-decade redistricting shifted the district toward Republicans.** The new boundaries gave Donald Trump an 11-point edge in 2024, prompting GOP efforts to target the seat, yet a July St. Pete Polls survey showed Castor leading primary contenders Mike Beltran and Kevin Steele by 7–8 points with sizable undecided shares. Beltran emerged from the crowded August 18 Republican primary with 45.6% to advance as the nominee. Mixed race ratings—ranging from Lean Republican to Lean Democratic or Toss-up—underscore the contest’s competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election, where trader consensus prices Castor’s personal brand and local familiarity as meaningful offsets to the map’s partisan tilt.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-14
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-14
$35,206 Vol.
$35,206 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
61%
Partido Republicano
36%
$35,206 Vol.
$35,206 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$18,316 Vol.
61%
Partido Republicano
$16,890 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Kathy Castor’s long incumbency and name recognition in the Tampa Bay area continue to anchor Democratic positioning in the redrawn FL-14, where voluntary mid-decade redistricting shifted the district toward Republicans.** The new boundaries gave Donald Trump an 11-point edge in 2024, prompting GOP efforts to target the seat, yet a July St. Pete Polls survey showed Castor leading primary contenders Mike Beltran and Kevin Steele by 7–8 points with sizable undecided shares. Beltran emerged from the crowded August 18 Republican primary with 45.6% to advance as the nominee. Mixed race ratings—ranging from Lean Republican to Lean Democratic or Toss-up—underscore the contest’s competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election, where trader consensus prices Castor’s personal brand and local familiarity as meaningful offsets to the map’s partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volumen
$35,206Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Kathy Castor’s long incumbency and name recognition in the Tampa Bay area continue to anchor Democratic positioning in the redrawn FL-14, where voluntary mid-decade redistricting shifted the district toward Republicans.** The new boundaries gave Donald Trump an 11-point edge in 2024, prompting GOP efforts to target the seat, yet a July St. Pete Polls survey showed Castor leading primary contenders Mike Beltran and Kevin Steele by 7–8 points with sizable undecided shares. Beltran emerged from the crowded August 18 Republican primary with 45.6% to advance as the nominee. Mixed race ratings—ranging from Lean Republican to Lean Democratic or Toss-up—underscore the contest’s competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election, where trader consensus prices Castor’s personal brand and local familiarity as meaningful offsets to the map’s partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,206Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Kathy Castor’s long incumbency and name recognition in the Tampa Bay area continue to anchor Democratic positioning in the redrawn FL-14, where voluntary mid-decade redistricting shifted the district toward Republicans.** The new boundaries gave Donald Trump an 11-point edge in 2024, prompting GOP efforts to target the seat, yet a July St. Pete Polls survey showed Castor leading primary contenders Mike Beltran and Kevin Steele by 7–8 points with sizable undecided shares. Beltran emerged from the crowded August 18 Republican primary with 45.6% to advance as the nominee. Mixed race ratings—ranging from Lean Republican to Lean Democratic or Toss-up—underscore the contest’s competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election, where trader consensus prices Castor’s personal brand and local familiarity as meaningful offsets to the map’s partisan tilt.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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