**Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th congressional district.** Mid-decade redistricting under Governor Ron DeSantis shifted the map to an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, strengthening the Republican position ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Luna, seeking a third term after winning 54.8% in 2024, faces Democrat Leela Gray, who won her August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing Luna’s fundraising lead and the district’s coastal Pinellas County demographics. Recent polling shows mixed head-to-head results, with some surveys giving Gray a narrow edge and others favoring Luna by 3–8 points. Trader consensus at roughly 72% Republican reflects these structural and incumbency factors while leaving room for national midterm dynamics or late-cycle shifts to influence the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-13 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-13 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Demócrata
29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$3,292 Vol.
72%
Partido Demócrata
$4,938 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th congressional district.** Mid-decade redistricting under Governor Ron DeSantis shifted the map to an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, strengthening the Republican position ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Luna, seeking a third term after winning 54.8% in 2024, faces Democrat Leela Gray, who won her August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing Luna’s fundraising lead and the district’s coastal Pinellas County demographics. Recent polling shows mixed head-to-head results, with some surveys giving Gray a narrow edge and others favoring Luna by 3–8 points. Trader consensus at roughly 72% Republican reflects these structural and incumbency factors while leaving room for national midterm dynamics or late-cycle shifts to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volumen
$8,231Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th congressional district.** Mid-decade redistricting under Governor Ron DeSantis shifted the map to an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, strengthening the Republican position ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Luna, seeking a third term after winning 54.8% in 2024, faces Democrat Leela Gray, who won her August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing Luna’s fundraising lead and the district’s coastal Pinellas County demographics. Recent polling shows mixed head-to-head results, with some surveys giving Gray a narrow edge and others favoring Luna by 3–8 points. Trader consensus at roughly 72% Republican reflects these structural and incumbency factors while leaving room for national midterm dynamics or late-cycle shifts to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,231Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th congressional district.** Mid-decade redistricting under Governor Ron DeSantis shifted the map to an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, strengthening the Republican position ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Luna, seeking a third term after winning 54.8% in 2024, faces Democrat Leela Gray, who won her August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing Luna’s fundraising lead and the district’s coastal Pinellas County demographics. Recent polling shows mixed head-to-head results, with some surveys giving Gray a narrow edge and others favoring Luna by 3–8 points. Trader consensus at roughly 72% Republican reflects these structural and incumbency factors while leaving room for national midterm dynamics or late-cycle shifts to influence the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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