Texas's 38th congressional district enters the November general election as an open Republican-leaning seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt launched a U.S. Senate bid. The Republican primary produced a May 26 runoff between Trump-endorsed Jon Bonck, who led the March vote and holds a substantial polling advantage, and Shelly deZevallos. On the Democratic side, Melissa McDonough secured the nomination outright. These primary outcomes and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus that the eventual Republican nominee enters the general election with a clear structural edge, though the race remains subject to turnout and any late shifts in voter sentiment before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-38
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-38
$16,876 Vol.
$16,876 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
80%
Partido Demócrata
20%
$16,876 Vol.
$16,876 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,349 Vol.
80%
Partido Demócrata
$5,527 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district enters the November general election as an open Republican-leaning seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt launched a U.S. Senate bid. The Republican primary produced a May 26 runoff between Trump-endorsed Jon Bonck, who led the March vote and holds a substantial polling advantage, and Shelly deZevallos. On the Democratic side, Melissa McDonough secured the nomination outright. These primary outcomes and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus that the eventual Republican nominee enters the general election with a clear structural edge, though the race remains subject to turnout and any late shifts in voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$16,876Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district enters the November general election as an open Republican-leaning seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt launched a U.S. Senate bid. The Republican primary produced a May 26 runoff between Trump-endorsed Jon Bonck, who led the March vote and holds a substantial polling advantage, and Shelly deZevallos. On the Democratic side, Melissa McDonough secured the nomination outright. These primary outcomes and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus that the eventual Republican nominee enters the general election with a clear structural edge, though the race remains subject to turnout and any late shifts in voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,876Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district enters the November general election as an open Republican-leaning seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt launched a U.S. Senate bid. The Republican primary produced a May 26 runoff between Trump-endorsed Jon Bonck, who led the March vote and holds a substantial polling advantage, and Shelly deZevallos. On the Democratic side, Melissa McDonough secured the nomination outright. These primary outcomes and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus that the eventual Republican nominee enters the general election with a clear structural edge, though the race remains subject to turnout and any late shifts in voter sentiment before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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