Minnesota's partisan lean and the retirement of Democratic Sen. Tina Smith have positioned the party to retain the seat in November 2026. Early general-election forecasts rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns in federal contests and the quality of declared Democratic contenders such as Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. The Republican primary has consolidated around Michele Tafoya, yet polling and fundraising gaps remain wide. With the Democratic primary set for August 11, the eventual nominee enters the general election as the clear favorite. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout differences, or unexpected primary volatility could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited pathways for a Republican upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$33,700 Vol.
$33,700 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
94%
Republicano
7%
$33,700 Vol.
$33,700 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$22,641 Vol.
94%
Republicano
$11,059 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's partisan lean and the retirement of Democratic Sen. Tina Smith have positioned the party to retain the seat in November 2026. Early general-election forecasts rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns in federal contests and the quality of declared Democratic contenders such as Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. The Republican primary has consolidated around Michele Tafoya, yet polling and fundraising gaps remain wide. With the Democratic primary set for August 11, the eventual nominee enters the general election as the clear favorite. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout differences, or unexpected primary volatility could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited pathways for a Republican upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$33,700Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's partisan lean and the retirement of Democratic Sen. Tina Smith have positioned the party to retain the seat in November 2026. Early general-election forecasts rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns in federal contests and the quality of declared Democratic contenders such as Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. The Republican primary has consolidated around Michele Tafoya, yet polling and fundraising gaps remain wide. With the Democratic primary set for August 11, the eventual nominee enters the general election as the clear favorite. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout differences, or unexpected primary volatility could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited pathways for a Republican upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$33,700Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's partisan lean and the retirement of Democratic Sen. Tina Smith have positioned the party to retain the seat in November 2026. Early general-election forecasts rate the race Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns in federal contests and the quality of declared Democratic contenders such as Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. The Republican primary has consolidated around Michele Tafoya, yet polling and fundraising gaps remain wide. With the Democratic primary set for August 11, the eventual nominee enters the general election as the clear favorite. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout differences, or unexpected primary volatility could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited pathways for a Republican upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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