Minnesota's U.S. Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, yet the state maintains a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent electoral history. Major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, general election as Likely Democratic, aligning with early polling that shows Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by several points in head-to-head matchups. The competitive Democratic primary on August 11 features established candidates with strong fundraising and endorsements, while the Republican field lacks high-profile challengers. These structural factors and consistent polling trends underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$25,052 Vol.
$25,052 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
90%
Republicano
11%
$25,052 Vol.
$25,052 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$17,097 Vol.
90%
Republicano
$7,955 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's U.S. Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, yet the state maintains a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent electoral history. Major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, general election as Likely Democratic, aligning with early polling that shows Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by several points in head-to-head matchups. The competitive Democratic primary on August 11 features established candidates with strong fundraising and endorsements, while the Republican field lacks high-profile challengers. These structural factors and consistent polling trends underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$25,052Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's U.S. Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, yet the state maintains a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent electoral history. Major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, general election as Likely Democratic, aligning with early polling that shows Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by several points in head-to-head matchups. The competitive Democratic primary on August 11 features established candidates with strong fundraising and endorsements, while the Republican field lacks high-profile challengers. These structural factors and consistent polling trends underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,052Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's U.S. Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, yet the state maintains a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent electoral history. Major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, general election as Likely Democratic, aligning with early polling that shows Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by several points in head-to-head matchups. The competitive Democratic primary on August 11 features established candidates with strong fundraising and endorsements, while the Republican field lacks high-profile challengers. These structural factors and consistent polling trends underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes