Minnesota's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, remains a strong hold for the party amid consistent polling leads in general election matchups and unanimous "Likely Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. The Democratic primary on August 11 features established candidates Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead in endorsements and fundraising, while Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya hold a primary advantage but face headwinds in a state with recent Democratic success in Senate races. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages for Democrats and limited recent shifts that would alter the balance. A Republican upset could still emerge from primary consolidation, national political swings, or turnout surprises before November 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$25,155 Vol.
$25,155 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
91%
Republicano
11%
$25,155 Vol.
$25,155 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$17,200 Vol.
91%
Republicano
$7,955 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, remains a strong hold for the party amid consistent polling leads in general election matchups and unanimous "Likely Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. The Democratic primary on August 11 features established candidates Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead in endorsements and fundraising, while Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya hold a primary advantage but face headwinds in a state with recent Democratic success in Senate races. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages for Democrats and limited recent shifts that would alter the balance. A Republican upset could still emerge from primary consolidation, national political swings, or turnout surprises before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$25,155Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, remains a strong hold for the party amid consistent polling leads in general election matchups and unanimous "Likely Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. The Democratic primary on August 11 features established candidates Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead in endorsements and fundraising, while Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya hold a primary advantage but face headwinds in a state with recent Democratic success in Senate races. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages for Democrats and limited recent shifts that would alter the balance. A Republican upset could still emerge from primary consolidation, national political swings, or turnout surprises before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,155Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, remains a strong hold for the party amid consistent polling leads in general election matchups and unanimous "Likely Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. The Democratic primary on August 11 features established candidates Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead in endorsements and fundraising, while Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya hold a primary advantage but face headwinds in a state with recent Democratic success in Senate races. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages for Democrats and limited recent shifts that would alter the balance. A Republican upset could still emerge from primary consolidation, national political swings, or turnout surprises before November 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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