Tina Smith's retirement has opened a Minnesota Senate seat in a state with a modest Democratic lean, where early general election polling shows Democratic contenders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig ahead of Republican primary leader Michele Tafoya by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with the state's partisan voting index and historical Senate results. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in the six months since the open seat was announced. A national Republican surge, an unusually strong GOP nominee after the August primary, or late-breaking developments on the economy or immigration could narrow the gap before November 3, 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$25,178 Vol.
$25,178 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
91%
Republicano
11%
$25,178 Vol.
$25,178 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$17,200 Vol.
91%
Republicano
$7,977 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Smith's retirement has opened a Minnesota Senate seat in a state with a modest Democratic lean, where early general election polling shows Democratic contenders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig ahead of Republican primary leader Michele Tafoya by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with the state's partisan voting index and historical Senate results. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in the six months since the open seat was announced. A national Republican surge, an unusually strong GOP nominee after the August primary, or late-breaking developments on the economy or immigration could narrow the gap before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$25,178Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Smith's retirement has opened a Minnesota Senate seat in a state with a modest Democratic lean, where early general election polling shows Democratic contenders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig ahead of Republican primary leader Michele Tafoya by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with the state's partisan voting index and historical Senate results. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in the six months since the open seat was announced. A national Republican surge, an unusually strong GOP nominee after the August primary, or late-breaking developments on the economy or immigration could narrow the gap before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,178Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tina Smith's retirement has opened a Minnesota Senate seat in a state with a modest Democratic lean, where early general election polling shows Democratic contenders Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig ahead of Republican primary leader Michele Tafoya by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with the state's partisan voting index and historical Senate results. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in the six months since the open seat was announced. A national Republican surge, an unusually strong GOP nominee after the August primary, or late-breaking developments on the economy or immigration could narrow the gap before November 3, 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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