Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$25,052 Vol.
$25,052 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
90%
Republicano
11%
$25,052 Vol.
$25,052 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$17,097 Vol.
90%
Republicano
$7,955 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$25,052Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,052Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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