Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the open Minnesota Senate seat due to the state's long Democratic dominance in federal races, her August primary victory over a well-funded challenger, and historical precedent where Republicans have not won a Senate election there since 2002. Aggregated polling shows her ahead by roughly four points, consistent with the open-seat dynamics and primary outcomes favoring the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, renewed focus on state-level issues such as fraud investigations, or broader national political developments that boost Republican performance in the final weeks before the November election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$69,074 Vol.
$69,074 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$69,074 Vol.
$69,074 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$50,049 Vol.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$19,025 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the open Minnesota Senate seat due to the state's long Democratic dominance in federal races, her August primary victory over a well-funded challenger, and historical precedent where Republicans have not won a Senate election there since 2002. Aggregated polling shows her ahead by roughly four points, consistent with the open-seat dynamics and primary outcomes favoring the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, renewed focus on state-level issues such as fraud investigations, or broader national political developments that boost Republican performance in the final weeks before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$69,074Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the open Minnesota Senate seat due to the state's long Democratic dominance in federal races, her August primary victory over a well-funded challenger, and historical precedent where Republicans have not won a Senate election there since 2002. Aggregated polling shows her ahead by roughly four points, consistent with the open-seat dynamics and primary outcomes favoring the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, renewed focus on state-level issues such as fraud investigations, or broader national political developments that boost Republican performance in the final weeks before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$69,074Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the open Minnesota Senate seat due to the state's long Democratic dominance in federal races, her August primary victory over a well-funded challenger, and historical precedent where Republicans have not won a Senate election there since 2002. Aggregated polling shows her ahead by roughly four points, consistent with the open-seat dynamics and primary outcomes favoring the Democratic nominee. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the margin include shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, renewed focus on state-level issues such as fraud investigations, or broader national political developments that boost Republican performance in the final weeks before the November election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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