Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, following redistricting that merged two heavily Democratic seats. Forecasters rate the general election matchup against Republican Ronald Whitfield as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s longstanding partisan baseline exceeding D+35. The overwhelming market consensus for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, Menefee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, and the absence of any competitive Republican primary or polling momentum. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political shift of historic scale would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-18
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-18
$16,119 Vol.
$16,119 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
98%
Partido Republicano
3%
$16,119 Vol.
$16,119 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$14,415 Vol.
98%
Partido Republicano
$1,704 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, following redistricting that merged two heavily Democratic seats. Forecasters rate the general election matchup against Republican Ronald Whitfield as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s longstanding partisan baseline exceeding D+35. The overwhelming market consensus for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, Menefee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, and the absence of any competitive Republican primary or polling momentum. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political shift of historic scale would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$16,119Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, following redistricting that merged two heavily Democratic seats. Forecasters rate the general election matchup against Republican Ronald Whitfield as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s longstanding partisan baseline exceeding D+35. The overwhelming market consensus for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, Menefee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, and the absence of any competitive Republican primary or polling momentum. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political shift of historic scale would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,119Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, following redistricting that merged two heavily Democratic seats. Forecasters rate the general election matchup against Republican Ronald Whitfield as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s longstanding partisan baseline exceeding D+35. The overwhelming market consensus for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, Menefee’s primary performance and fundraising edge, and the absence of any competitive Republican primary or polling momentum. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political shift of historic scale would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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